Open seats and balanced partisan environments position Kansas, Ohio, Wisconsin, Nevada, and Iowa as frontrunners in trader assessments of the tightest 2026 gubernatorial margins. Term limits on Democratic incumbents in Kansas and Wisconsin, along with Republican retirements in Iowa and Ohio, have produced fluid candidate fields where neither party holds a structural edge. Nevada’s incumbent faces a rematch dynamic in a presidential battleground. Forecasters rate these contests as toss-ups or leans, reflecting narrow historical margins, split-ticket voting patterns, and comparable turnout models. Primaries concluding in coming weeks, early general-election polling, and major endorsements could narrow attention to one or two states by clarifying nominee strength and resource allocation.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วKansas 14.1%
Ohio 13.1%
Wisconsin 10.5%
Nevada 11%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Nov 3, 2026
Kansas
14%
Ohio
13%
Wisconsin
11%
Nevada
11%
Iowa
9%
Texas
9%
Georgia
6%
Colorado
5%
Florida
5%
Michigan
4%
Oregon
4%
Alaska
3%
Arizona
3%
New Hampshire
2%
Maine
1%
New Mexico
1%
Vermont
1%
Minnesota
1%
Kansas 14.1%
Ohio 13.1%
Wisconsin 10.5%
Nevada 11%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Nov 3, 2026
Kansas
$357 ปริมาณ
14%
Ohio
$333 ปริมาณ
13%
Wisconsin
$250 ปริมาณ
11%
Nevada
$1,420 ปริมาณ
11%
Iowa
$475 ปริมาณ
9%
Texas
$1,038 ปริมาณ
9%
Georgia
$194 ปริมาณ
6%
Colorado
$238 ปริมาณ
5%
Florida
$193 ปริมาณ
5%
Michigan
$324 ปริมาณ
4%
Oregon
$299 ปริมาณ
4%
Alaska
$201 ปริมาณ
3%
Arizona
$259 ปริมาณ
3%
New Hampshire
$250 ปริมาณ
2%
Maine
$297 ปริมาณ
1%
New Mexico
$189 ปริมาณ
1%
Vermont
$171 ปริมาณ
1%
Minnesota
$209 ปริมาณ
1%
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the US gubernatorial race which has the smallest margin of victory.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant margin of victory will be that of the round in which the winner is determined.
If two state margins of victory are identical, this market will resolve to the tied state whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market will consider the results of all listed gubernatorial elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to be held in November, 2026, by October 31, 2026, including the results of runoff elections held after November, 2026.
The resolution source for this market will be a compilation of all of the relevant state election authorities responsible for certifying statewide elections, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Open seats and balanced partisan environments position Kansas, Ohio, Wisconsin, Nevada, and Iowa as frontrunners in trader assessments of the tightest 2026 gubernatorial margins. Term limits on Democratic incumbents in Kansas and Wisconsin, along with Republican retirements in Iowa and Ohio, have produced fluid candidate fields where neither party holds a structural edge. Nevada’s incumbent faces a rematch dynamic in a presidential battleground. Forecasters rate these contests as toss-ups or leans, reflecting narrow historical margins, split-ticket voting patterns, and comparable turnout models. Primaries concluding in coming weeks, early general-election polling, and major endorsements could narrow attention to one or two states by clarifying nominee strength and resource allocation.
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the US gubernatorial race which has the smallest margin of victory.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant margin of victory will be that of the round in which the winner is determined.
If two state margins of victory are identical, this market will resolve to the tied state whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market will consider the results of all listed gubernatorial elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to be held in November, 2026, by October 31, 2026, including the results of runoff elections held after November, 2026.
The resolution source for this market will be a compilation of all of the relevant state election authorities responsible for certifying statewide elections, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the US gubernatorial race which has the smallest margin of victory.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant margin of victory will be that of the round in which the winner is determined.
If two state margins of victory are identical, this market will resolve to the tied state whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market will consider the results of all listed gubernatorial elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to be held in November, 2026, by October 31, 2026, including the results of runoff elections held after November, 2026.
The resolution source for this market will be a compilation of all of the relevant state election authorities responsible for certifying statewide elections, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jun 29, 2026, 4:01 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$6,696วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jun 29, 2026, 4:01 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the US gubernatorial race which has the smallest margin of victory.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant margin of victory will be that of the round in which the winner is determined.
If two state margins of victory are identical, this market will resolve to the tied state whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market will consider the results of all listed gubernatorial elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to be held in November, 2026, by October 31, 2026, including the results of runoff elections held after November, 2026.
The resolution source for this market will be a compilation of all of the relevant state election authorities responsible for certifying statewide elections, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Open seats and balanced partisan environments position Kansas, Ohio, Wisconsin, Nevada, and Iowa as frontrunners in trader assessments of the tightest 2026 gubernatorial margins. Term limits on Democratic incumbents in Kansas and Wisconsin, along with Republican retirements in Iowa and Ohio, have produced fluid candidate fields where neither party holds a structural edge. Nevada’s incumbent faces a rematch dynamic in a presidential battleground. Forecasters rate these contests as toss-ups or leans, reflecting narrow historical margins, split-ticket voting patterns, and comparable turnout models. Primaries concluding in coming weeks, early general-election polling, and major endorsements could narrow attention to one or two states by clarifying nominee strength and resource allocation.
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the US gubernatorial race which has the smallest margin of victory.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant margin of victory will be that of the round in which the winner is determined.
If two state margins of victory are identical, this market will resolve to the tied state whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market will consider the results of all listed gubernatorial elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to be held in November, 2026, by October 31, 2026, including the results of runoff elections held after November, 2026.
The resolution source for this market will be a compilation of all of the relevant state election authorities responsible for certifying statewide elections, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the US gubernatorial race which has the smallest margin of victory.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant margin of victory will be that of the round in which the winner is determined.
If two state margins of victory are identical, this market will resolve to the tied state whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market will consider the results of all listed gubernatorial elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to be held in November, 2026, by October 31, 2026, including the results of runoff elections held after November, 2026.
The resolution source for this market will be a compilation of all of the relevant state election authorities responsible for certifying statewide elections, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$6,696วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jun 29, 2026, 4:01 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Open seats and balanced partisan environments position Kansas, Ohio, Wisconsin, Nevada, and Iowa as frontrunners in trader assessments of the tightest 2026 gubernatorial margins. Term limits on Democratic incumbents in Kansas and Wisconsin, along with Republican retirements in Iowa and Ohio, have produced fluid candidate fields where neither party holds a structural edge. Nevada’s incumbent faces a rematch dynamic in a presidential battleground. Forecasters rate these contests as toss-ups or leans, reflecting narrow historical margins, split-ticket voting patterns, and comparable turnout models. Primaries concluding in coming weeks, early general-election polling, and major endorsements could narrow attention to one or two states by clarifying nominee strength and resource allocation.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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