Incumbent Democrat Luz Rivas leads the CA-29 House race at 88.5% implied probability because she secured a clear majority in the June 2026 top-two primary and advanced against fellow Democrat Angélica María Dueñas in this solidly Democratic San Fernando Valley district. Rivas's substantial fundraising edge, established congressional record since 2025, and broad party support position her as the consensus favorite ahead of the November 3 general election. Dueñas, a repeat candidate with limited resources, trails at 5.4% amid low overall volume and no Republican on the ballot. Trader pricing reflects the district's strong Democratic lean and historical incumbency patterns, though turnout dynamics or late endorsements could still influence the final margin.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วใหม่
ใหม่
Nov 3, 2026
Luz Rivas
89%
Angélica María Dueñas
6%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Nov 3, 2026
Luz Rivas
$1,020 ปริมาณ
89%
Angélica María Dueñas
$312 ปริมาณ
6%
This market will resolve according to the individual who wins the CA-29 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Luz Rivas leads the CA-29 House race at 88.5% implied probability because she secured a clear majority in the June 2026 top-two primary and advanced against fellow Democrat Angélica María Dueñas in this solidly Democratic San Fernando Valley district. Rivas's substantial fundraising edge, established congressional record since 2025, and broad party support position her as the consensus favorite ahead of the November 3 general election. Dueñas, a repeat candidate with limited resources, trails at 5.4% amid low overall volume and no Republican on the ballot. Trader pricing reflects the district's strong Democratic lean and historical incumbency patterns, though turnout dynamics or late endorsements could still influence the final margin.
This market will resolve according to the individual who wins the CA-29 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jul 9, 2026, 10:07 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$1,333วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 9, 2026, 10:07 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the individual who wins the CA-29 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Luz Rivas leads the CA-29 House race at 88.5% implied probability because she secured a clear majority in the June 2026 top-two primary and advanced against fellow Democrat Angélica María Dueñas in this solidly Democratic San Fernando Valley district. Rivas's substantial fundraising edge, established congressional record since 2025, and broad party support position her as the consensus favorite ahead of the November 3 general election. Dueñas, a repeat candidate with limited resources, trails at 5.4% amid low overall volume and no Republican on the ballot. Trader pricing reflects the district's strong Democratic lean and historical incumbency patterns, though turnout dynamics or late endorsements could still influence the final margin.
This market will resolve according to the individual who wins the CA-29 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$1,333วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 9, 2026, 10:07 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Incumbent Democrat Luz Rivas leads the CA-29 House race at 88.5% implied probability because she secured a clear majority in the June 2026 top-two primary and advanced against fellow Democrat Angélica María Dueñas in this solidly Democratic San Fernando Valley district. Rivas's substantial fundraising edge, established congressional record since 2025, and broad party support position her as the consensus favorite ahead of the November 3 general election. Dueñas, a repeat candidate with limited resources, trails at 5.4% amid low overall volume and no Republican on the ballot. Trader pricing reflects the district's strong Democratic lean and historical incumbency patterns, though turnout dynamics or late endorsements could still influence the final margin.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
คำถามที่พบบ่อย