Incumbent Rep. Angie Craig's departure for a U.S. Senate bid has opened Minnesota's 2nd Congressional District—a D+3 seat per Cook PVI that she defended with 48-55% margins in recent cycles—but forecasters like Cook Political Report (Likely Democratic as of April 14, 2026) and Sabato's Crystal Ball (Lean Democratic) still favor Democrats. A crowded Democratic primary features well-funded former state Sen. Matt Little ($717K raised), state Rep. Kaela Berg, and others vying for DFL endorsement amid recent precinct caucuses and April discussions; Republicans have state Sen. Eric Pratt as their lone announced contender with $259K raised. With primaries on August 11 and no general election polls yet, trader consensus reflects the district's structural Democratic tilt and early candidate quality gap, though a GOP recruitment surge or national midterm wave could shift dynamics.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วMN-02 House Election Winner
MN-02 House Election Winner
Democratic Party
88%
Republican Party
14%
Democratic Party
88%
Republican Party
14%
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Dec 16, 2025, 12:08 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Rep. Angie Craig's departure for a U.S. Senate bid has opened Minnesota's 2nd Congressional District—a D+3 seat per Cook PVI that she defended with 48-55% margins in recent cycles—but forecasters like Cook Political Report (Likely Democratic as of April 14, 2026) and Sabato's Crystal Ball (Lean Democratic) still favor Democrats. A crowded Democratic primary features well-funded former state Sen. Matt Little ($717K raised), state Rep. Kaela Berg, and others vying for DFL endorsement amid recent precinct caucuses and April discussions; Republicans have state Sen. Eric Pratt as their lone announced contender with $259K raised. With primaries on August 11 and no general election polls yet, trader consensus reflects the district's structural Democratic tilt and early candidate quality gap, though a GOP recruitment surge or national midterm wave could shift dynamics.
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