California's 3rd congressional district underwent significant redistricting under Proposition 50, approved by voters in 2025, which shifted boundaries to include more Democratic-leaning areas east of Sacramento while removing stronger Republican suburbs. This change transformed the seat from a competitive or Republican-leaning district into one rated Solid Democratic or Safe Democratic by forecasters including the Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball. Democratic incumbent Ami Bera, previously representing the neighboring 6th district, announced his candidacy in the redrawn CA-03 and advanced from the June 2, 2026, top-two primary alongside Republican Robb Tucker. These factors, combined with the district's updated partisan voting index favoring Democrats by roughly 6 points or more in recent cycles, underpin the current trader consensus reflected in the market odds.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วCA-03 House Election Winner
CA-03 House Election Winner
$26,380 ปริมาณ
$26,380 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
85%
Republican Party
7%
$26,380 ปริมาณ
$26,380 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$14,193 ปริมาณ
85%
Republican Party
$12,187 ปริมาณ
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).California's 3rd congressional district underwent significant redistricting under Proposition 50, approved by voters in 2025, which shifted boundaries to include more Democratic-leaning areas east of Sacramento while removing stronger Republican suburbs. This change transformed the seat from a competitive or Republican-leaning district into one rated Solid Democratic or Safe Democratic by forecasters including the Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball. Democratic incumbent Ami Bera, previously representing the neighboring 6th district, announced his candidacy in the redrawn CA-03 and advanced from the June 2, 2026, top-two primary alongside Republican Robb Tucker. These factors, combined with the district's updated partisan voting index favoring Democrats by roughly 6 points or more in recent cycles, underpin the current trader consensus reflected in the market odds.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$26,380วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).California's 3rd congressional district underwent significant redistricting under Proposition 50, approved by voters in 2025, which shifted boundaries to include more Democratic-leaning areas east of Sacramento while removing stronger Republican suburbs. This change transformed the seat from a competitive or Republican-leaning district into one rated Solid Democratic or Safe Democratic by forecasters including the Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball. Democratic incumbent Ami Bera, previously representing the neighboring 6th district, announced his candidacy in the redrawn CA-03 and advanced from the June 2, 2026, top-two primary alongside Republican Robb Tucker. These factors, combined with the district's updated partisan voting index favoring Democrats by roughly 6 points or more in recent cycles, underpin the current trader consensus reflected in the market odds.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$26,380วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...California's 3rd congressional district underwent significant redistricting under Proposition 50, approved by voters in 2025, which shifted boundaries to include more Democratic-leaning areas east of Sacramento while removing stronger Republican suburbs. This change transformed the seat from a competitive or Republican-leaning district into one rated Solid Democratic or Safe Democratic by forecasters including the Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball. Democratic incumbent Ami Bera, previously representing the neighboring 6th district, announced his candidacy in the redrawn CA-03 and advanced from the June 2, 2026, top-two primary alongside Republican Robb Tucker. These factors, combined with the district's updated partisan voting index favoring Democrats by roughly 6 points or more in recent cycles, underpin the current trader consensus reflected in the market odds.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
คำถามที่พบบ่อย