Incumbent Democrat Hillary Scholten's commanding position drives trader consensus favoring the Democratic Party at 84.5% in the MI-03 House race, bolstered by her 10-point reelection victory in 2024 in a district with Cook PVI D+4 where Kamala Harris won by eight points. The seat has trended leftward since 2016, enhancing incumbency advantages typical in midterms. Republicans at 14% face a primary featuring TV meteorologist Terri DeBoer, who announced March 5, and J. Allen Fiorletta, with no heavyweight challengers emerging; forecasters like Cook rate it Likely Democratic. Filing deadline April 21 precedes August 4 primaries, but no polling or major shifts have altered the landscape recently.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วMI-03 House Election Winner
MI-03 House Election Winner
ใหม่
ใหม่
Nov 4, 2026
Democratic Party
85%
Republican Party
14%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Nov 4, 2026
Democratic Party
$280 ปริมาณ
85%
Republican Party
$158 ปริมาณ
14%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Hillary Scholten's commanding position drives trader consensus favoring the Democratic Party at 84.5% in the MI-03 House race, bolstered by her 10-point reelection victory in 2024 in a district with Cook PVI D+4 where Kamala Harris won by eight points. The seat has trended leftward since 2016, enhancing incumbency advantages typical in midterms. Republicans at 14% face a primary featuring TV meteorologist Terri DeBoer, who announced March 5, and J. Allen Fiorletta, with no heavyweight challengers emerging; forecasters like Cook rate it Likely Democratic. Filing deadline April 21 precedes August 4 primaries, but no polling or major shifts have altered the landscape recently.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Dec 16, 2025, 11:59 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$438วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 4, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Dec 16, 2025, 11:59 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Hillary Scholten's commanding position drives trader consensus favoring the Democratic Party at 84.5% in the MI-03 House race, bolstered by her 10-point reelection victory in 2024 in a district with Cook PVI D+4 where Kamala Harris won by eight points. The seat has trended leftward since 2016, enhancing incumbency advantages typical in midterms. Republicans at 14% face a primary featuring TV meteorologist Terri DeBoer, who announced March 5, and J. Allen Fiorletta, with no heavyweight challengers emerging; forecasters like Cook rate it Likely Democratic. Filing deadline April 21 precedes August 4 primaries, but no polling or major shifts have altered the landscape recently.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$438วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 4, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Dec 16, 2025, 11:59 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Hillary Scholten's commanding position drives trader consensus favoring the Democratic Party at 84.5% in the MI-03 House race, bolstered by her 10-point reelection victory in 2024 in a district with Cook PVI D+4 where Kamala Harris won by eight points. The seat has trended leftward since 2016, enhancing incumbency advantages typical in midterms. Republicans at 14% face a primary featuring TV meteorologist Terri DeBoer, who announced March 5, and J. Allen Fiorletta, with no heavyweight challengers emerging; forecasters like Cook rate it Likely Democratic. Filing deadline April 21 precedes August 4 primaries, but no polling or major shifts have altered the landscape recently.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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