Democratic incumbent Hillary Scholten seeks reelection in Michigan’s 3rd district, a seat she flipped in 2022 and held by double digits in 2024 amid the district’s steady leftward shift and D+4 partisan voting index. Nonpartisan analysts rate the race Solid or Likely Democratic, reflecting Scholten’s established position and the absence of competitive Republican challengers positioned to overcome the structural lean. Primaries scheduled for August 2026 and the November general election remain months away, leaving room for standard midterm dynamics or candidate developments to influence outcomes, yet trader consensus currently assigns the Democratic Party an 86.5% implied probability of victory.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วMI-03 House Election Winner
MI-03 House Election Winner
ใหม่
ใหม่
Nov 4, 2026
Democratic Party
69%
Republican Party
51%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Nov 4, 2026
Democratic Party
$476 ปริมาณ
69%
Republican Party
$163 ปริมาณ
51%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Democratic incumbent Hillary Scholten seeks reelection in Michigan’s 3rd district, a seat she flipped in 2022 and held by double digits in 2024 amid the district’s steady leftward shift and D+4 partisan voting index. Nonpartisan analysts rate the race Solid or Likely Democratic, reflecting Scholten’s established position and the absence of competitive Republican challengers positioned to overcome the structural lean. Primaries scheduled for August 2026 and the November general election remain months away, leaving room for standard midterm dynamics or candidate developments to influence outcomes, yet trader consensus currently assigns the Democratic Party an 86.5% implied probability of victory.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Dec 16, 2025, 11:59 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$639วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 4, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Dec 16, 2025, 11:59 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Democratic incumbent Hillary Scholten seeks reelection in Michigan’s 3rd district, a seat she flipped in 2022 and held by double digits in 2024 amid the district’s steady leftward shift and D+4 partisan voting index. Nonpartisan analysts rate the race Solid or Likely Democratic, reflecting Scholten’s established position and the absence of competitive Republican challengers positioned to overcome the structural lean. Primaries scheduled for August 2026 and the November general election remain months away, leaving room for standard midterm dynamics or candidate developments to influence outcomes, yet trader consensus currently assigns the Democratic Party an 86.5% implied probability of victory.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$639วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 4, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Dec 16, 2025, 11:59 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Democratic incumbent Hillary Scholten seeks reelection in Michigan’s 3rd district, a seat she flipped in 2022 and held by double digits in 2024 amid the district’s steady leftward shift and D+4 partisan voting index. Nonpartisan analysts rate the race Solid or Likely Democratic, reflecting Scholten’s established position and the absence of competitive Republican challengers positioned to overcome the structural lean. Primaries scheduled for August 2026 and the November general election remain months away, leaving room for standard midterm dynamics or candidate developments to influence outcomes, yet trader consensus currently assigns the Democratic Party an 86.5% implied probability of victory.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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