The Michigan 7th congressional district remains a toss-up House race between Democratic nominee William Lawrence and Republican incumbent Tom Barrett, with trader pricing reflecting narrow margins in recent polling averages near 47-49 percent. Lawrence secured the Democratic nomination in an August primary by defeating two more moderate challengers through strong grassroots organizing and turnout in the Lansing area, prompting the DCCC to add him to its Red to Blue program on September 15 for national support in flipping the seat. Barrett, who captured the district in 2024, benefits from incumbency and established fundraising, while the even partisan lean and mixed voter blocs in mid-Michigan sustain the close contest. Upcoming debates, further polling releases, and shifts in national midterm dynamics could widen the gap before November.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วMI-07 House Election Winner
MI-07 House Election Winner
$20,426 ปริมาณ
$20,426 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
William Lawrence (D)
51%
Tom Barrett (R)
47%
$20,426 ปริมาณ
$20,426 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
William Lawrence (D)
$13,452 ปริมาณ
51%
Tom Barrett (R)
$6,974 ปริมาณ
47%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Michigan 7th congressional district remains a toss-up House race between Democratic nominee William Lawrence and Republican incumbent Tom Barrett, with trader pricing reflecting narrow margins in recent polling averages near 47-49 percent. Lawrence secured the Democratic nomination in an August primary by defeating two more moderate challengers through strong grassroots organizing and turnout in the Lansing area, prompting the DCCC to add him to its Red to Blue program on September 15 for national support in flipping the seat. Barrett, who captured the district in 2024, benefits from incumbency and established fundraising, while the even partisan lean and mixed voter blocs in mid-Michigan sustain the close contest. Upcoming debates, further polling releases, and shifts in national midterm dynamics could widen the gap before November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Dec 16, 2025, 12:01 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$20,426วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 4, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Dec 16, 2025, 12:01 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Michigan 7th congressional district remains a toss-up House race between Democratic nominee William Lawrence and Republican incumbent Tom Barrett, with trader pricing reflecting narrow margins in recent polling averages near 47-49 percent. Lawrence secured the Democratic nomination in an August primary by defeating two more moderate challengers through strong grassroots organizing and turnout in the Lansing area, prompting the DCCC to add him to its Red to Blue program on September 15 for national support in flipping the seat. Barrett, who captured the district in 2024, benefits from incumbency and established fundraising, while the even partisan lean and mixed voter blocs in mid-Michigan sustain the close contest. Upcoming debates, further polling releases, and shifts in national midterm dynamics could widen the gap before November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$20,426วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 4, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Dec 16, 2025, 12:01 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x2F5e3684c...The Michigan 7th congressional district remains a toss-up House race between Democratic nominee William Lawrence and Republican incumbent Tom Barrett, with trader pricing reflecting narrow margins in recent polling averages near 47-49 percent. Lawrence secured the Democratic nomination in an August primary by defeating two more moderate challengers through strong grassroots organizing and turnout in the Lansing area, prompting the DCCC to add him to its Red to Blue program on September 15 for national support in flipping the seat. Barrett, who captured the district in 2024, benefits from incumbency and established fundraising, while the even partisan lean and mixed voter blocs in mid-Michigan sustain the close contest. Upcoming debates, further polling releases, and shifts in national midterm dynamics could widen the gap before November.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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