Democratic nominee Elaine Luria’s strong positioning against incumbent Republican Jennifer Kiggans in the competitive VA-02 race underpins the Democratic Party’s 53.5% implied probability, while the Republican Party sits at 34%. The district, centered in Hampton Roads, rates as a toss-up across major forecasters, reflecting its narrow 2024 margin and even partisan voting index. Luria, the former representative seeking a rematch, secured an early endorsement from incoming Democratic Governor Abigail Spanberger, bolstering her primary prospects ahead of the August 4 contest. Kiggans maintains substantial fundraising and incumbency advantages, yet the seat’s swing character and broader midterm dynamics contribute to traders assigning a modest Democratic edge in this battleground House race.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วVA-02 House Election Winner
VA-02 House Election Winner
ใหม่
ใหม่
Nov 4, 2026
Democratic Party
42%
Republican Party
33%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Nov 4, 2026
Democratic Party
$287 ปริมาณ
42%
Republican Party
$516 ปริมาณ
33%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Democratic nominee Elaine Luria’s strong positioning against incumbent Republican Jennifer Kiggans in the competitive VA-02 race underpins the Democratic Party’s 53.5% implied probability, while the Republican Party sits at 34%. The district, centered in Hampton Roads, rates as a toss-up across major forecasters, reflecting its narrow 2024 margin and even partisan voting index. Luria, the former representative seeking a rematch, secured an early endorsement from incoming Democratic Governor Abigail Spanberger, bolstering her primary prospects ahead of the August 4 contest. Kiggans maintains substantial fundraising and incumbency advantages, yet the seat’s swing character and broader midterm dynamics contribute to traders assigning a modest Democratic edge in this battleground House race.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Dec 16, 2025, 1:15 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$803วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 4, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Dec 16, 2025, 1:15 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Democratic nominee Elaine Luria’s strong positioning against incumbent Republican Jennifer Kiggans in the competitive VA-02 race underpins the Democratic Party’s 53.5% implied probability, while the Republican Party sits at 34%. The district, centered in Hampton Roads, rates as a toss-up across major forecasters, reflecting its narrow 2024 margin and even partisan voting index. Luria, the former representative seeking a rematch, secured an early endorsement from incoming Democratic Governor Abigail Spanberger, bolstering her primary prospects ahead of the August 4 contest. Kiggans maintains substantial fundraising and incumbency advantages, yet the seat’s swing character and broader midterm dynamics contribute to traders assigning a modest Democratic edge in this battleground House race.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$803วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 4, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Dec 16, 2025, 1:15 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Democratic nominee Elaine Luria’s strong positioning against incumbent Republican Jennifer Kiggans in the competitive VA-02 race underpins the Democratic Party’s 53.5% implied probability, while the Republican Party sits at 34%. The district, centered in Hampton Roads, rates as a toss-up across major forecasters, reflecting its narrow 2024 margin and even partisan voting index. Luria, the former representative seeking a rematch, secured an early endorsement from incoming Democratic Governor Abigail Spanberger, bolstering her primary prospects ahead of the August 4 contest. Kiggans maintains substantial fundraising and incumbency advantages, yet the seat’s swing character and broader midterm dynamics contribute to traders assigning a modest Democratic edge in this battleground House race.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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