Maryland's 2nd congressional district maintains a D+10 Cook Partisan Voter Index and delivered an 18-point Democratic margin in the prior cycle, establishing a durable baseline that shapes trader consensus. Incumbent Democrat Johnny Olszewski consolidated support by winning his June primary with roughly 85 percent of the vote, while Republican Dave Wallace emerged from a low-turnout contest with limited opposition. Forecasters across Cook, Inside Elections, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and Decision Desk HQ classify the seat as Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November 3 general election. Olszewski's fundraising edge and early candidate field clearance further anchor positioning. A broad national Republican wave, unanticipated scandal, or health-related development could theoretically compress the margin, though the district's partisan composition and consolidated nominations constrain realistic pathways for an upset.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วMD-02 House Election Winner
MD-02 House Election Winner
$24,172 ปริมาณ
$24,172 ปริมาณ
Nov 2, 2026
Democratic Party
95%
Republican Party
5%
$24,172 ปริมาณ
$24,172 ปริมาณ
Nov 2, 2026
Democratic Party
$12,396 ปริมาณ
95%
Republican Party
$11,777 ปริมาณ
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Maryland's 2nd congressional district maintains a D+10 Cook Partisan Voter Index and delivered an 18-point Democratic margin in the prior cycle, establishing a durable baseline that shapes trader consensus. Incumbent Democrat Johnny Olszewski consolidated support by winning his June primary with roughly 85 percent of the vote, while Republican Dave Wallace emerged from a low-turnout contest with limited opposition. Forecasters across Cook, Inside Elections, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and Decision Desk HQ classify the seat as Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November 3 general election. Olszewski's fundraising edge and early candidate field clearance further anchor positioning. A broad national Republican wave, unanticipated scandal, or health-related development could theoretically compress the margin, though the district's partisan composition and consolidated nominations constrain realistic pathways for an upset.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$24,172วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Maryland's 2nd congressional district maintains a D+10 Cook Partisan Voter Index and delivered an 18-point Democratic margin in the prior cycle, establishing a durable baseline that shapes trader consensus. Incumbent Democrat Johnny Olszewski consolidated support by winning his June primary with roughly 85 percent of the vote, while Republican Dave Wallace emerged from a low-turnout contest with limited opposition. Forecasters across Cook, Inside Elections, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and Decision Desk HQ classify the seat as Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November 3 general election. Olszewski's fundraising edge and early candidate field clearance further anchor positioning. A broad national Republican wave, unanticipated scandal, or health-related development could theoretically compress the margin, though the district's partisan composition and consolidated nominations constrain realistic pathways for an upset.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$24,172วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x2F5e3684c...Maryland's 2nd congressional district maintains a D+10 Cook Partisan Voter Index and delivered an 18-point Democratic margin in the prior cycle, establishing a durable baseline that shapes trader consensus. Incumbent Democrat Johnny Olszewski consolidated support by winning his June primary with roughly 85 percent of the vote, while Republican Dave Wallace emerged from a low-turnout contest with limited opposition. Forecasters across Cook, Inside Elections, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and Decision Desk HQ classify the seat as Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November 3 general election. Olszewski's fundraising edge and early candidate field clearance further anchor positioning. A broad national Republican wave, unanticipated scandal, or health-related development could theoretically compress the margin, though the district's partisan composition and consolidated nominations constrain realistic pathways for an upset.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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