The district's strong Democratic lean, reflected in a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+21 and consistent double-digit margins in recent cycles, underpins trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at over 93 percent. Incumbent Rashida Tlaib's established position, combined with limited Republican recruitment and fundraising, reinforces this outlook ahead of the August 4 primary and November 3 general election. A competitive Democratic primary among Tlaib, Shanelle Jackson, and Byron Nolen introduces minor uncertainty, but the eventual nominee would still face a structurally favorable electorate. Shifts could occur only through an unusually strong Republican performance or late developments altering turnout patterns in this Detroit-area seat.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วMI-12 House Election Winner
MI-12 House Election Winner
$28,890 ปริมาณ
$28,890 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
94%
Republican Party
6%
$28,890 ปริมาณ
$28,890 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$17,714 ปริมาณ
94%
Republican Party
$11,175 ปริมาณ
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The district's strong Democratic lean, reflected in a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+21 and consistent double-digit margins in recent cycles, underpins trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at over 93 percent. Incumbent Rashida Tlaib's established position, combined with limited Republican recruitment and fundraising, reinforces this outlook ahead of the August 4 primary and November 3 general election. A competitive Democratic primary among Tlaib, Shanelle Jackson, and Byron Nolen introduces minor uncertainty, but the eventual nominee would still face a structurally favorable electorate. Shifts could occur only through an unusually strong Republican performance or late developments altering turnout patterns in this Detroit-area seat.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$28,890วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The district's strong Democratic lean, reflected in a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+21 and consistent double-digit margins in recent cycles, underpins trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at over 93 percent. Incumbent Rashida Tlaib's established position, combined with limited Republican recruitment and fundraising, reinforces this outlook ahead of the August 4 primary and November 3 general election. A competitive Democratic primary among Tlaib, Shanelle Jackson, and Byron Nolen introduces minor uncertainty, but the eventual nominee would still face a structurally favorable electorate. Shifts could occur only through an unusually strong Republican performance or late developments altering turnout patterns in this Detroit-area seat.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$28,890วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The district's strong Democratic lean, reflected in a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+21 and consistent double-digit margins in recent cycles, underpins trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at over 93 percent. Incumbent Rashida Tlaib's established position, combined with limited Republican recruitment and fundraising, reinforces this outlook ahead of the August 4 primary and November 3 general election. A competitive Democratic primary among Tlaib, Shanelle Jackson, and Byron Nolen introduces minor uncertainty, but the eventual nominee would still face a structurally favorable electorate. Shifts could occur only through an unusually strong Republican performance or late developments altering turnout patterns in this Detroit-area seat.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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