Incumbent Rep. Rashida Tlaib's strong hold on solidly Democratic MI-12 (Cook PVI D+21), evidenced by her 70% general election margins in 2022 and 2024 plus an unopposed 2024 Democratic primary, anchors trader consensus favoring Democrats. Recent catalysts include Tlaib's March re-election announcement, February Working Families Party endorsement, and multiple weak primary challengers (Allen Downer, Shanelle Jackson, Byron Nolen) filed ahead of the April 21 deadline, while no Republican candidates appear on state listings. Absent a formidable GOP recruit post-deadline, Tlaib primary upset, major scandal, or national midterm wave favoring Republicans, the seat remains a safe Democratic hold ahead of the August 4 primaries and November 3 general election.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วMI-12 House Election Winner
MI-12 House Election Winner
$18,096 ปริมาณ
$18,096 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
93%
Republican Party
7%
$18,096 ปริมาณ
$18,096 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$12,057 ปริมาณ
93%
Republican Party
$6,040 ปริมาณ
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. Rashida Tlaib's strong hold on solidly Democratic MI-12 (Cook PVI D+21), evidenced by her 70% general election margins in 2022 and 2024 plus an unopposed 2024 Democratic primary, anchors trader consensus favoring Democrats. Recent catalysts include Tlaib's March re-election announcement, February Working Families Party endorsement, and multiple weak primary challengers (Allen Downer, Shanelle Jackson, Byron Nolen) filed ahead of the April 21 deadline, while no Republican candidates appear on state listings. Absent a formidable GOP recruit post-deadline, Tlaib primary upset, major scandal, or national midterm wave favoring Republicans, the seat remains a safe Democratic hold ahead of the August 4 primaries and November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$18,096วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. Rashida Tlaib's strong hold on solidly Democratic MI-12 (Cook PVI D+21), evidenced by her 70% general election margins in 2022 and 2024 plus an unopposed 2024 Democratic primary, anchors trader consensus favoring Democrats. Recent catalysts include Tlaib's March re-election announcement, February Working Families Party endorsement, and multiple weak primary challengers (Allen Downer, Shanelle Jackson, Byron Nolen) filed ahead of the April 21 deadline, while no Republican candidates appear on state listings. Absent a formidable GOP recruit post-deadline, Tlaib primary upset, major scandal, or national midterm wave favoring Republicans, the seat remains a safe Democratic hold ahead of the August 4 primaries and November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$18,096วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Rep. Rashida Tlaib's strong hold on solidly Democratic MI-12 (Cook PVI D+21), evidenced by her 70% general election margins in 2022 and 2024 plus an unopposed 2024 Democratic primary, anchors trader consensus favoring Democrats. Recent catalysts include Tlaib's March re-election announcement, February Working Families Party endorsement, and multiple weak primary challengers (Allen Downer, Shanelle Jackson, Byron Nolen) filed ahead of the April 21 deadline, while no Republican candidates appear on state listings. Absent a formidable GOP recruit post-deadline, Tlaib primary upset, major scandal, or national midterm wave favoring Republicans, the seat remains a safe Democratic hold ahead of the August 4 primaries and November 3 general election.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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