Jeremy Moss secured the Democratic nomination for Michigan’s 11th Congressional District in the August 4 primary, positioning him as the clear frontrunner in this open-seat race to succeed retiring Representative Haley Stevens. The district, centered in Oakland County and rated solid or safe Democratic by major forecasters, has favored Democratic candidates in recent cycles. Ethan Baker, Troy’s mayor, advanced unopposed on the Republican side but faces structural headwinds in a constituency with a pronounced Democratic base. Trader consensus reflected in the current pricing aligns with these partisan fundamentals and primary results. Late developments capable of narrowing the gap remain limited and would likely require significant shifts in voter turnout, candidate-specific controversies, or broader national political realignments before November 3.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วMI-11 House Election Winner
MI-11 House Election Winner
$79,162 ปริมาณ
$79,162 ปริมาณ
Nov 2, 2026
Jeremy Moss (D)
96%
Ethan Baker (R)
3%
$79,162 ปริมาณ
$79,162 ปริมาณ
Nov 2, 2026
Jeremy Moss (D)
$56,609 ปริมาณ
96%
Ethan Baker (R)
$22,552 ปริมาณ
3%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Jeremy Moss secured the Democratic nomination for Michigan’s 11th Congressional District in the August 4 primary, positioning him as the clear frontrunner in this open-seat race to succeed retiring Representative Haley Stevens. The district, centered in Oakland County and rated solid or safe Democratic by major forecasters, has favored Democratic candidates in recent cycles. Ethan Baker, Troy’s mayor, advanced unopposed on the Republican side but faces structural headwinds in a constituency with a pronounced Democratic base. Trader consensus reflected in the current pricing aligns with these partisan fundamentals and primary results. Late developments capable of narrowing the gap remain limited and would likely require significant shifts in voter turnout, candidate-specific controversies, or broader national political realignments before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$79,162วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Jeremy Moss secured the Democratic nomination for Michigan’s 11th Congressional District in the August 4 primary, positioning him as the clear frontrunner in this open-seat race to succeed retiring Representative Haley Stevens. The district, centered in Oakland County and rated solid or safe Democratic by major forecasters, has favored Democratic candidates in recent cycles. Ethan Baker, Troy’s mayor, advanced unopposed on the Republican side but faces structural headwinds in a constituency with a pronounced Democratic base. Trader consensus reflected in the current pricing aligns with these partisan fundamentals and primary results. Late developments capable of narrowing the gap remain limited and would likely require significant shifts in voter turnout, candidate-specific controversies, or broader national political realignments before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$79,162วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x2F5e3684c...Jeremy Moss secured the Democratic nomination for Michigan’s 11th Congressional District in the August 4 primary, positioning him as the clear frontrunner in this open-seat race to succeed retiring Representative Haley Stevens. The district, centered in Oakland County and rated solid or safe Democratic by major forecasters, has favored Democratic candidates in recent cycles. Ethan Baker, Troy’s mayor, advanced unopposed on the Republican side but faces structural headwinds in a constituency with a pronounced Democratic base. Trader consensus reflected in the current pricing aligns with these partisan fundamentals and primary results. Late developments capable of narrowing the gap remain limited and would likely require significant shifts in voter turnout, candidate-specific controversies, or broader national political realignments before November 3.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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