Open seat in Michigan's 11th Congressional District—vacated by Rep. Haley Stevens' U.S. Senate bid—anchors trader consensus at 92.5% for Democrats, reflecting the district's Solid Democratic rating (Cook PVI D+9) and historical margins like Stevens' 58%-40% 2024 win. Strong Democratic primary contenders, led by state Sen. Jeremy Moss with $982,000 raised and endorsements from Gov. Whitmer and LGBTQ+ Victory Fund, dominate Q1 fundraising (March 31 data), while Republicans—Ethan Baker, Anthony Paesano, Tony Prieto, and Michael Steger—show minimal resources (under $30,000 total raised). Imminent April 21 filing deadline and August 4 primaries loom, but scandals, a high-profile GOP recruit, or midterm wave would be required to alter odds.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วMI-11 House Election Winner
MI-11 House Election Winner
$41,238 ปริมาณ
$41,238 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
93%
Republican Party
7%
$41,238 ปริมาณ
$41,238 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$36,710 ปริมาณ
93%
Republican Party
$4,529 ปริมาณ
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Open seat in Michigan's 11th Congressional District—vacated by Rep. Haley Stevens' U.S. Senate bid—anchors trader consensus at 92.5% for Democrats, reflecting the district's Solid Democratic rating (Cook PVI D+9) and historical margins like Stevens' 58%-40% 2024 win. Strong Democratic primary contenders, led by state Sen. Jeremy Moss with $982,000 raised and endorsements from Gov. Whitmer and LGBTQ+ Victory Fund, dominate Q1 fundraising (March 31 data), while Republicans—Ethan Baker, Anthony Paesano, Tony Prieto, and Michael Steger—show minimal resources (under $30,000 total raised). Imminent April 21 filing deadline and August 4 primaries loom, but scandals, a high-profile GOP recruit, or midterm wave would be required to alter odds.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$41,238วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Open seat in Michigan's 11th Congressional District—vacated by Rep. Haley Stevens' U.S. Senate bid—anchors trader consensus at 92.5% for Democrats, reflecting the district's Solid Democratic rating (Cook PVI D+9) and historical margins like Stevens' 58%-40% 2024 win. Strong Democratic primary contenders, led by state Sen. Jeremy Moss with $982,000 raised and endorsements from Gov. Whitmer and LGBTQ+ Victory Fund, dominate Q1 fundraising (March 31 data), while Republicans—Ethan Baker, Anthony Paesano, Tony Prieto, and Michael Steger—show minimal resources (under $30,000 total raised). Imminent April 21 filing deadline and August 4 primaries loom, but scandals, a high-profile GOP recruit, or midterm wave would be required to alter odds.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$41,238วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Open seat in Michigan's 11th Congressional District—vacated by Rep. Haley Stevens' U.S. Senate bid—anchors trader consensus at 92.5% for Democrats, reflecting the district's Solid Democratic rating (Cook PVI D+9) and historical margins like Stevens' 58%-40% 2024 win. Strong Democratic primary contenders, led by state Sen. Jeremy Moss with $982,000 raised and endorsements from Gov. Whitmer and LGBTQ+ Victory Fund, dominate Q1 fundraising (March 31 data), while Republicans—Ethan Baker, Anthony Paesano, Tony Prieto, and Michael Steger—show minimal resources (under $30,000 total raised). Imminent April 21 filing deadline and August 4 primaries loom, but scandals, a high-profile GOP recruit, or midterm wave would be required to alter odds.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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