Michigan's 13th congressional district maintains one of the state's strongest Democratic leans, driven by its urban demographics centered on Detroit and surrounding Wayne County communities, along with a Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+22. Historical results show consistent Democratic general election margins exceeding 60 points, limiting Republican viability regardless of nominee. The August 4 primary will determine the Democratic candidate for the November 3 general, yet trader pricing reflects broad recognition that the eventual nominee holds a commanding structural edge. Scenarios that could narrow this gap include an unforeseen scandal involving the Democratic standard-bearer, health-related withdrawal, or a dramatic national political shift altering turnout patterns, though such developments remain low-probability based on current conditions.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วMI-13 House Election Winner
MI-13 House Election Winner
$36,668 ปริมาณ
$36,668 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
97%
Republican Party
1%
$36,668 ปริมาณ
$36,668 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$22,466 ปริมาณ
97%
Republican Party
$14,201 ปริมาณ
1%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Michigan's 13th congressional district maintains one of the state's strongest Democratic leans, driven by its urban demographics centered on Detroit and surrounding Wayne County communities, along with a Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+22. Historical results show consistent Democratic general election margins exceeding 60 points, limiting Republican viability regardless of nominee. The August 4 primary will determine the Democratic candidate for the November 3 general, yet trader pricing reflects broad recognition that the eventual nominee holds a commanding structural edge. Scenarios that could narrow this gap include an unforeseen scandal involving the Democratic standard-bearer, health-related withdrawal, or a dramatic national political shift altering turnout patterns, though such developments remain low-probability based on current conditions.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$36,668วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Michigan's 13th congressional district maintains one of the state's strongest Democratic leans, driven by its urban demographics centered on Detroit and surrounding Wayne County communities, along with a Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+22. Historical results show consistent Democratic general election margins exceeding 60 points, limiting Republican viability regardless of nominee. The August 4 primary will determine the Democratic candidate for the November 3 general, yet trader pricing reflects broad recognition that the eventual nominee holds a commanding structural edge. Scenarios that could narrow this gap include an unforeseen scandal involving the Democratic standard-bearer, health-related withdrawal, or a dramatic national political shift altering turnout patterns, though such developments remain low-probability based on current conditions.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$36,668วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Michigan's 13th congressional district maintains one of the state's strongest Democratic leans, driven by its urban demographics centered on Detroit and surrounding Wayne County communities, along with a Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+22. Historical results show consistent Democratic general election margins exceeding 60 points, limiting Republican viability regardless of nominee. The August 4 primary will determine the Democratic candidate for the November 3 general, yet trader pricing reflects broad recognition that the eventual nominee holds a commanding structural edge. Scenarios that could narrow this gap include an unforeseen scandal involving the Democratic standard-bearer, health-related withdrawal, or a dramatic national political shift altering turnout patterns, though such developments remain low-probability based on current conditions.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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