Incumbent Democrat Derek Tran holds a strong position heading into the November general election for California's 45th congressional district after securing a clear majority in the June 2026 top-two primary. The Orange County-based seat carries a modest Democratic lean, consistent with its recent voting patterns and nonpartisan ratings classifying it as lean or likely Democratic. Republican nominee Chuong Vo advanced ahead of a split field but faces structural challenges in a district where Democratic candidates have maintained an edge. With no major developments or shifts in candidate positioning reported since the primary, trader consensus aligns with the incumbent's established support and the limited path for Republican gains before Election Day.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วCA-45 House Election Winner
CA-45 House Election Winner
$25,119 ปริมาณ
$25,119 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
89%
Republican Party
12%
$25,119 ปริมาณ
$25,119 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$13,885 ปริมาณ
89%
Republican Party
$11,234 ปริมาณ
12%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-45 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Derek Tran holds a strong position heading into the November general election for California's 45th congressional district after securing a clear majority in the June 2026 top-two primary. The Orange County-based seat carries a modest Democratic lean, consistent with its recent voting patterns and nonpartisan ratings classifying it as lean or likely Democratic. Republican nominee Chuong Vo advanced ahead of a split field but faces structural challenges in a district where Democratic candidates have maintained an edge. With no major developments or shifts in candidate positioning reported since the primary, trader consensus aligns with the incumbent's established support and the limited path for Republican gains before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-45 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$25,119วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-45 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Derek Tran holds a strong position heading into the November general election for California's 45th congressional district after securing a clear majority in the June 2026 top-two primary. The Orange County-based seat carries a modest Democratic lean, consistent with its recent voting patterns and nonpartisan ratings classifying it as lean or likely Democratic. Republican nominee Chuong Vo advanced ahead of a split field but faces structural challenges in a district where Democratic candidates have maintained an edge. With no major developments or shifts in candidate positioning reported since the primary, trader consensus aligns with the incumbent's established support and the limited path for Republican gains before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-45 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$25,119วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Derek Tran holds a strong position heading into the November general election for California's 45th congressional district after securing a clear majority in the June 2026 top-two primary. The Orange County-based seat carries a modest Democratic lean, consistent with its recent voting patterns and nonpartisan ratings classifying it as lean or likely Democratic. Republican nominee Chuong Vo advanced ahead of a split field but faces structural challenges in a district where Democratic candidates have maintained an edge. With no major developments or shifts in candidate positioning reported since the primary, trader consensus aligns with the incumbent's established support and the limited path for Republican gains before Election Day.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
คำถามที่พบบ่อย