California's 48th congressional district, redrawn under Proposition 50, shifted from a reliably Republican seat held by retiring Rep. Darrell Issa to one with a modest Democratic voter registration edge and a D+2 Cook Partisan Voting Index. The June 2, 2026, primary advanced Republican San Diego County Supervisor Jim Desmond and Democrat San Diego City Councilmember Marni von Wilpert as general election nominees on November 3. Nonpartisan ratings classify the open-seat contest as Lean Democratic, reflecting the district's updated partisan lean and von Wilpert's positioning as the stronger Democratic contender after a crowded primary. Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns Democrats an 86% implied probability, consistent with the structural advantages and limited polling showing a competitive but Democratic-favored race ahead of the general election.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วCA-48 House Election Winner
CA-48 House Election Winner
$12,652 ปริมาณ
$12,652 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
86%
Republican Party
15%
$12,652 ปริมาณ
$12,652 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$6,389 ปริมาณ
86%
Republican Party
$6,262 ปริมาณ
15%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-48 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).California's 48th congressional district, redrawn under Proposition 50, shifted from a reliably Republican seat held by retiring Rep. Darrell Issa to one with a modest Democratic voter registration edge and a D+2 Cook Partisan Voting Index. The June 2, 2026, primary advanced Republican San Diego County Supervisor Jim Desmond and Democrat San Diego City Councilmember Marni von Wilpert as general election nominees on November 3. Nonpartisan ratings classify the open-seat contest as Lean Democratic, reflecting the district's updated partisan lean and von Wilpert's positioning as the stronger Democratic contender after a crowded primary. Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns Democrats an 86% implied probability, consistent with the structural advantages and limited polling showing a competitive but Democratic-favored race ahead of the general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-48 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$12,652วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-48 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).California's 48th congressional district, redrawn under Proposition 50, shifted from a reliably Republican seat held by retiring Rep. Darrell Issa to one with a modest Democratic voter registration edge and a D+2 Cook Partisan Voting Index. The June 2, 2026, primary advanced Republican San Diego County Supervisor Jim Desmond and Democrat San Diego City Councilmember Marni von Wilpert as general election nominees on November 3. Nonpartisan ratings classify the open-seat contest as Lean Democratic, reflecting the district's updated partisan lean and von Wilpert's positioning as the stronger Democratic contender after a crowded primary. Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns Democrats an 86% implied probability, consistent with the structural advantages and limited polling showing a competitive but Democratic-favored race ahead of the general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-48 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$12,652วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...California's 48th congressional district, redrawn under Proposition 50, shifted from a reliably Republican seat held by retiring Rep. Darrell Issa to one with a modest Democratic voter registration edge and a D+2 Cook Partisan Voting Index. The June 2, 2026, primary advanced Republican San Diego County Supervisor Jim Desmond and Democrat San Diego City Councilmember Marni von Wilpert as general election nominees on November 3. Nonpartisan ratings classify the open-seat contest as Lean Democratic, reflecting the district's updated partisan lean and von Wilpert's positioning as the stronger Democratic contender after a crowded primary. Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns Democrats an 86% implied probability, consistent with the structural advantages and limited polling showing a competitive but Democratic-favored race ahead of the general election.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
คำถามที่พบบ่อย