Florida's 3rd congressional district carries a Republican Partisan Voter Index of R+10 and has delivered consistent double-digit margins for the GOP in recent cycles. Incumbent Republican Kat Cammack, who won re-election with 61.6% in 2024, advanced unopposed through the August 2026 primary while Democratic nominee Seth Harp emerged from a four-candidate field. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting the district's voter registration edge, Cammack's fundraising advantage exceeding $2 million, and limited crossover appeal in a North Central Florida constituency that includes Gainesville and Ocala. An independent candidate, Mike Klein, has filed but shows minimal traction. A late national Democratic surge or unforeseen controversy could narrow the gap, yet the structural and historical factors underpinning the current trader consensus remain firmly in place ahead of the November 3 general election.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วFL-03 House Election Winner
FL-03 House Election Winner
$29,890 ปริมาณ
$29,890 ปริมาณ
Nov 2, 2026
Republican Party
94%
Democratic Party
6%
$29,890 ปริมาณ
$29,890 ปริมาณ
Nov 2, 2026
Republican Party
$11,666 ปริมาณ
94%
Democratic Party
$18,224 ปริมาณ
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Florida's 3rd congressional district carries a Republican Partisan Voter Index of R+10 and has delivered consistent double-digit margins for the GOP in recent cycles. Incumbent Republican Kat Cammack, who won re-election with 61.6% in 2024, advanced unopposed through the August 2026 primary while Democratic nominee Seth Harp emerged from a four-candidate field. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting the district's voter registration edge, Cammack's fundraising advantage exceeding $2 million, and limited crossover appeal in a North Central Florida constituency that includes Gainesville and Ocala. An independent candidate, Mike Klein, has filed but shows minimal traction. A late national Democratic surge or unforeseen controversy could narrow the gap, yet the structural and historical factors underpinning the current trader consensus remain firmly in place ahead of the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$29,890วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Florida's 3rd congressional district carries a Republican Partisan Voter Index of R+10 and has delivered consistent double-digit margins for the GOP in recent cycles. Incumbent Republican Kat Cammack, who won re-election with 61.6% in 2024, advanced unopposed through the August 2026 primary while Democratic nominee Seth Harp emerged from a four-candidate field. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting the district's voter registration edge, Cammack's fundraising advantage exceeding $2 million, and limited crossover appeal in a North Central Florida constituency that includes Gainesville and Ocala. An independent candidate, Mike Klein, has filed but shows minimal traction. A late national Democratic surge or unforeseen controversy could narrow the gap, yet the structural and historical factors underpinning the current trader consensus remain firmly in place ahead of the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$29,890วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x2F5e3684c...Florida's 3rd congressional district carries a Republican Partisan Voter Index of R+10 and has delivered consistent double-digit margins for the GOP in recent cycles. Incumbent Republican Kat Cammack, who won re-election with 61.6% in 2024, advanced unopposed through the August 2026 primary while Democratic nominee Seth Harp emerged from a four-candidate field. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting the district's voter registration edge, Cammack's fundraising advantage exceeding $2 million, and limited crossover appeal in a North Central Florida constituency that includes Gainesville and Ocala. An independent candidate, Mike Klein, has filed but shows minimal traction. A late national Democratic surge or unforeseen controversy could narrow the gap, yet the structural and historical factors underpinning the current trader consensus remain firmly in place ahead of the November 3 general election.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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