Florida's 4th Congressional District, rated Solid Republican by Cook Political Report with an R+5 partisan lean, favors incumbent Aaron Bean in his 2026 reelection bid, anchoring trader consensus at 82.5% for the Republican Party. Bean, who won by 15-point and 21-point margins in 2024 and 2022, faces a token Republican primary challenger in Anthony Valerio ahead of the August 18 primaries, while Democrats—led by securities lawyer Michael Kirwan in a fragmented primary field—hold just 13.5%. Recent first-quarter fundraising reports highlight Bean's dominance, raising $240,000 to reach $1.5 million total receipts and $1.23 million cash on hand, outpacing Kirwan's $511,000 receipts and $226,000 cash by over 3-to-1, reinforcing the district's reliable GOP path to victory absent major shifts.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วFL-04 House Election Winner
FL-04 House Election Winner
ใหม่
ใหม่
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
83%
Democratic Party
14%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$4,498 ปริมาณ
83%
Democratic Party
$2,834 ปริมาณ
14%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Florida's 4th Congressional District, rated Solid Republican by Cook Political Report with an R+5 partisan lean, favors incumbent Aaron Bean in his 2026 reelection bid, anchoring trader consensus at 82.5% for the Republican Party. Bean, who won by 15-point and 21-point margins in 2024 and 2022, faces a token Republican primary challenger in Anthony Valerio ahead of the August 18 primaries, while Democrats—led by securities lawyer Michael Kirwan in a fragmented primary field—hold just 13.5%. Recent first-quarter fundraising reports highlight Bean's dominance, raising $240,000 to reach $1.5 million total receipts and $1.23 million cash on hand, outpacing Kirwan's $511,000 receipts and $226,000 cash by over 3-to-1, reinforcing the district's reliable GOP path to victory absent major shifts.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 28, 2026, 10:37 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$7,332วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 10:37 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Florida's 4th Congressional District, rated Solid Republican by Cook Political Report with an R+5 partisan lean, favors incumbent Aaron Bean in his 2026 reelection bid, anchoring trader consensus at 82.5% for the Republican Party. Bean, who won by 15-point and 21-point margins in 2024 and 2022, faces a token Republican primary challenger in Anthony Valerio ahead of the August 18 primaries, while Democrats—led by securities lawyer Michael Kirwan in a fragmented primary field—hold just 13.5%. Recent first-quarter fundraising reports highlight Bean's dominance, raising $240,000 to reach $1.5 million total receipts and $1.23 million cash on hand, outpacing Kirwan's $511,000 receipts and $226,000 cash by over 3-to-1, reinforcing the district's reliable GOP path to victory absent major shifts.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$7,332วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 10:37 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Florida's 4th Congressional District, rated Solid Republican by Cook Political Report with an R+5 partisan lean, favors incumbent Aaron Bean in his 2026 reelection bid, anchoring trader consensus at 82.5% for the Republican Party. Bean, who won by 15-point and 21-point margins in 2024 and 2022, faces a token Republican primary challenger in Anthony Valerio ahead of the August 18 primaries, while Democrats—led by securities lawyer Michael Kirwan in a fragmented primary field—hold just 13.5%. Recent first-quarter fundraising reports highlight Bean's dominance, raising $240,000 to reach $1.5 million total receipts and $1.23 million cash on hand, outpacing Kirwan's $511,000 receipts and $226,000 cash by over 3-to-1, reinforcing the district's reliable GOP path to victory absent major shifts.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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