Incumbent Democrat Jennifer McClellan holds a commanding position in Virginia’s 4th congressional district ahead of the November 3, 2026 general election, with the market reflecting trader consensus on the party outcome. The seat carries a D+17 Partisan Voter Index and delivered a roughly 33-point margin for the Democratic presidential nominee in the prior cycle, anchored in Richmond and portions of Southside Virginia. McClellan advanced without primary opposition after the Democratic contest was canceled, while Republican nominee Robert Murray and independent Joan Bell show limited fundraising and visibility. All major forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic. Factors that could still alter the result include a late personal or campaign scandal involving the incumbent, a sharp national political shift, or unusually depressed Democratic turnout in this heavily Democratic-leaning district.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วVA-04 House Election Winner
VA-04 House Election Winner
$41,614 ปริมาณ
$41,614 ปริมาณ
Nov 2, 2026
Democratic Party
97%
Republican Party
2%
$41,614 ปริมาณ
$41,614 ปริมาณ
Nov 2, 2026
Democratic Party
$12,217 ปริมาณ
97%
Republican Party
$29,397 ปริมาณ
2%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Jennifer McClellan holds a commanding position in Virginia’s 4th congressional district ahead of the November 3, 2026 general election, with the market reflecting trader consensus on the party outcome. The seat carries a D+17 Partisan Voter Index and delivered a roughly 33-point margin for the Democratic presidential nominee in the prior cycle, anchored in Richmond and portions of Southside Virginia. McClellan advanced without primary opposition after the Democratic contest was canceled, while Republican nominee Robert Murray and independent Joan Bell show limited fundraising and visibility. All major forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic. Factors that could still alter the result include a late personal or campaign scandal involving the incumbent, a sharp national political shift, or unusually depressed Democratic turnout in this heavily Democratic-leaning district.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$41,614วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Jennifer McClellan holds a commanding position in Virginia’s 4th congressional district ahead of the November 3, 2026 general election, with the market reflecting trader consensus on the party outcome. The seat carries a D+17 Partisan Voter Index and delivered a roughly 33-point margin for the Democratic presidential nominee in the prior cycle, anchored in Richmond and portions of Southside Virginia. McClellan advanced without primary opposition after the Democratic contest was canceled, while Republican nominee Robert Murray and independent Joan Bell show limited fundraising and visibility. All major forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic. Factors that could still alter the result include a late personal or campaign scandal involving the incumbent, a sharp national political shift, or unusually depressed Democratic turnout in this heavily Democratic-leaning district.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$41,614วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Jennifer McClellan holds a commanding position in Virginia’s 4th congressional district ahead of the November 3, 2026 general election, with the market reflecting trader consensus on the party outcome. The seat carries a D+17 Partisan Voter Index and delivered a roughly 33-point margin for the Democratic presidential nominee in the prior cycle, anchored in Richmond and portions of Southside Virginia. McClellan advanced without primary opposition after the Democratic contest was canceled, while Republican nominee Robert Murray and independent Joan Bell show limited fundraising and visibility. All major forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic. Factors that could still alter the result include a late personal or campaign scandal involving the incumbent, a sharp national political shift, or unusually depressed Democratic turnout in this heavily Democratic-leaning district.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
คำถามที่พบบ่อย