Virginia voters' approval of a constitutional amendment on April 21 enabling mid-decade congressional redistricting has solidified trader consensus favoring Democrats at 86.5% to hold VA-07, as the Democratic-controlled legislature drew a new lobster-shaped 7th district rated D+2 by Cook Political Report, linking urban Democratic strongholds like Arlington and Fairfax with rural areas to dilute Republican votes. Incumbent Rep. Eugene Vindman seeks reelection amid a crowded Democratic primary featuring challengers like former First Lady Dorothy McAuliffe, Del. Elizabeth Guzman, and ex-Pence aide Olivia Troye, while the Republican field remains underdeveloped ahead of the May 26 filing deadline and August 4 primaries. GOP odds at 9.7% reflect the district's structural tilt and absence of a standout contender.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วVA-07 House Election Winner
VA-07 House Election Winner
ใหม่
ใหม่
Nov 4, 2026
Democratic Party
86%
Republican Party
11%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Nov 4, 2026
Democratic Party
$194 ปริมาณ
86%
Republican Party
$0 ปริมาณ
11%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Virginia voters' approval of a constitutional amendment on April 21 enabling mid-decade congressional redistricting has solidified trader consensus favoring Democrats at 86.5% to hold VA-07, as the Democratic-controlled legislature drew a new lobster-shaped 7th district rated D+2 by Cook Political Report, linking urban Democratic strongholds like Arlington and Fairfax with rural areas to dilute Republican votes. Incumbent Rep. Eugene Vindman seeks reelection amid a crowded Democratic primary featuring challengers like former First Lady Dorothy McAuliffe, Del. Elizabeth Guzman, and ex-Pence aide Olivia Troye, while the Republican field remains underdeveloped ahead of the May 26 filing deadline and August 4 primaries. GOP odds at 9.7% reflect the district's structural tilt and absence of a standout contender.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Dec 16, 2025, 1:15 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$194วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 4, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Dec 16, 2025, 1:15 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Virginia voters' approval of a constitutional amendment on April 21 enabling mid-decade congressional redistricting has solidified trader consensus favoring Democrats at 86.5% to hold VA-07, as the Democratic-controlled legislature drew a new lobster-shaped 7th district rated D+2 by Cook Political Report, linking urban Democratic strongholds like Arlington and Fairfax with rural areas to dilute Republican votes. Incumbent Rep. Eugene Vindman seeks reelection amid a crowded Democratic primary featuring challengers like former First Lady Dorothy McAuliffe, Del. Elizabeth Guzman, and ex-Pence aide Olivia Troye, while the Republican field remains underdeveloped ahead of the May 26 filing deadline and August 4 primaries. GOP odds at 9.7% reflect the district's structural tilt and absence of a standout contender.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$194วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 4, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Dec 16, 2025, 1:15 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Virginia voters' approval of a constitutional amendment on April 21 enabling mid-decade congressional redistricting has solidified trader consensus favoring Democrats at 86.5% to hold VA-07, as the Democratic-controlled legislature drew a new lobster-shaped 7th district rated D+2 by Cook Political Report, linking urban Democratic strongholds like Arlington and Fairfax with rural areas to dilute Republican votes. Incumbent Rep. Eugene Vindman seeks reelection amid a crowded Democratic primary featuring challengers like former First Lady Dorothy McAuliffe, Del. Elizabeth Guzman, and ex-Pence aide Olivia Troye, while the Republican field remains underdeveloped ahead of the May 26 filing deadline and August 4 primaries. GOP odds at 9.7% reflect the district's structural tilt and absence of a standout contender.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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