Maryland’s 7th congressional district, encompassing most of Baltimore and surrounding suburbs, has consistently delivered large Democratic margins in recent cycles, including an 80%+ victory for incumbent Kweisi Mfume in 2024. Mfume secured the Democratic nomination in the June 2026 primary with roughly 70% of the vote against a city council challenger, while Republican nominee Scott Collier faces an uncontested or low-visibility path on the other side. Forecasters rate the seat as Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting the district’s partisan composition, historical turnout patterns, and limited crossover voting. Trader consensus around 97% Democratic probability aligns with these structural factors. A realistic shift would require either a late-breaking scandal affecting the incumbent or an unusually strong statewide or national Republican surge capable of overcoming the district’s baseline partisan lean.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วMD-07 House Election Winner
MD-07 House Election Winner
$24,360 ปริมาณ
$24,360 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
97%
Republican Party
3%
$24,360 ปริมาณ
$24,360 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$15,273 ปริมาณ
97%
Republican Party
$9,087 ปริมาณ
3%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Maryland’s 7th congressional district, encompassing most of Baltimore and surrounding suburbs, has consistently delivered large Democratic margins in recent cycles, including an 80%+ victory for incumbent Kweisi Mfume in 2024. Mfume secured the Democratic nomination in the June 2026 primary with roughly 70% of the vote against a city council challenger, while Republican nominee Scott Collier faces an uncontested or low-visibility path on the other side. Forecasters rate the seat as Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting the district’s partisan composition, historical turnout patterns, and limited crossover voting. Trader consensus around 97% Democratic probability aligns with these structural factors. A realistic shift would require either a late-breaking scandal affecting the incumbent or an unusually strong statewide or national Republican surge capable of overcoming the district’s baseline partisan lean.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$24,360วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Maryland’s 7th congressional district, encompassing most of Baltimore and surrounding suburbs, has consistently delivered large Democratic margins in recent cycles, including an 80%+ victory for incumbent Kweisi Mfume in 2024. Mfume secured the Democratic nomination in the June 2026 primary with roughly 70% of the vote against a city council challenger, while Republican nominee Scott Collier faces an uncontested or low-visibility path on the other side. Forecasters rate the seat as Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting the district’s partisan composition, historical turnout patterns, and limited crossover voting. Trader consensus around 97% Democratic probability aligns with these structural factors. A realistic shift would require either a late-breaking scandal affecting the incumbent or an unusually strong statewide or national Republican surge capable of overcoming the district’s baseline partisan lean.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$24,360วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Maryland’s 7th congressional district, encompassing most of Baltimore and surrounding suburbs, has consistently delivered large Democratic margins in recent cycles, including an 80%+ victory for incumbent Kweisi Mfume in 2024. Mfume secured the Democratic nomination in the June 2026 primary with roughly 70% of the vote against a city council challenger, while Republican nominee Scott Collier faces an uncontested or low-visibility path on the other side. Forecasters rate the seat as Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting the district’s partisan composition, historical turnout patterns, and limited crossover voting. Trader consensus around 97% Democratic probability aligns with these structural factors. A realistic shift would require either a late-breaking scandal affecting the incumbent or an unusually strong statewide or national Republican surge capable of overcoming the district’s baseline partisan lean.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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