Maryland's 7th congressional district House race trader consensus prices Democrats at 89.7% implied probability to retain the seat, driven by its D+31 partisan voter index and incumbent Kweisi Mfume's dominant history, including 80.3% in the 2024 general election over Scott Collier's 17.2%. Recent FEC filings through March 31 show Mfume with $793,000 cash on hand versus primary challenger Mark Conway's $40,000, bolstering expectations of a strong Democratic nominee ahead of the June 23 primary. GOP prospects remain dim with Collier as the likely nominee after weak past showings, in a race rated Solid Democratic by Cook Political Report. Late-breaking primary upset or national midterm wave could shift dynamics, though structural advantages favor Democrats.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วMD-07 House Election Winner
MD-07 House Election Winner
$14,773 ปริมาณ
$14,773 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
90%
Republican Party
7%
$14,773 ปริมาณ
$14,773 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$8,827 ปริมาณ
90%
Republican Party
$5,946 ปริมาณ
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Maryland's 7th congressional district House race trader consensus prices Democrats at 89.7% implied probability to retain the seat, driven by its D+31 partisan voter index and incumbent Kweisi Mfume's dominant history, including 80.3% in the 2024 general election over Scott Collier's 17.2%. Recent FEC filings through March 31 show Mfume with $793,000 cash on hand versus primary challenger Mark Conway's $40,000, bolstering expectations of a strong Democratic nominee ahead of the June 23 primary. GOP prospects remain dim with Collier as the likely nominee after weak past showings, in a race rated Solid Democratic by Cook Political Report. Late-breaking primary upset or national midterm wave could shift dynamics, though structural advantages favor Democrats.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$14,773วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Maryland's 7th congressional district House race trader consensus prices Democrats at 89.7% implied probability to retain the seat, driven by its D+31 partisan voter index and incumbent Kweisi Mfume's dominant history, including 80.3% in the 2024 general election over Scott Collier's 17.2%. Recent FEC filings through March 31 show Mfume with $793,000 cash on hand versus primary challenger Mark Conway's $40,000, bolstering expectations of a strong Democratic nominee ahead of the June 23 primary. GOP prospects remain dim with Collier as the likely nominee after weak past showings, in a race rated Solid Democratic by Cook Political Report. Late-breaking primary upset or national midterm wave could shift dynamics, though structural advantages favor Democrats.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$14,773วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Maryland's 7th congressional district House race trader consensus prices Democrats at 89.7% implied probability to retain the seat, driven by its D+31 partisan voter index and incumbent Kweisi Mfume's dominant history, including 80.3% in the 2024 general election over Scott Collier's 17.2%. Recent FEC filings through March 31 show Mfume with $793,000 cash on hand versus primary challenger Mark Conway's $40,000, bolstering expectations of a strong Democratic nominee ahead of the June 23 primary. GOP prospects remain dim with Collier as the likely nominee after weak past showings, in a race rated Solid Democratic by Cook Political Report. Late-breaking primary upset or national midterm wave could shift dynamics, though structural advantages favor Democrats.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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