Incumbent Rep. April McClain Delaney faces a competitive Democratic primary challenge from self-funding former Rep. David Trone ahead of the June 23, 2026, contest, but trader consensus prices Democratic Party victory at 88% due to the district's D+3 Cook PVI, solid Democratic ratings from Cook, Sabato, and Inside Elections, and overwhelming general election advantages shown in recent polling. A Public Sentiment Institute survey of 309 likely voters (April 8-11) found Delaney leading a generic Republican 55%-31% and Trone 59%-31%, reflecting 50% Democratic registration versus 31% Republican and Harris's D+15 margin in 2024 presidential results. The fragmented Republican primary, with 54% undecided per the poll among GOP voters and candidates including Neil Parrott and Mariela Roca, limits GOP competitiveness despite Delaney's narrow 53%-47% 2024 win. Late surprises like national midterm dynamics or primary upsets could shift odds, but structural factors favor Democrats.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วMD-06 House Election Winner
MD-06 House Election Winner
$10,230 ปริมาณ
$10,230 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
88%
Republican Party
10%
$10,230 ปริมาณ
$10,230 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$2,341 ปริมาณ
88%
Republican Party
$7,888 ปริมาณ
10%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. April McClain Delaney faces a competitive Democratic primary challenge from self-funding former Rep. David Trone ahead of the June 23, 2026, contest, but trader consensus prices Democratic Party victory at 88% due to the district's D+3 Cook PVI, solid Democratic ratings from Cook, Sabato, and Inside Elections, and overwhelming general election advantages shown in recent polling. A Public Sentiment Institute survey of 309 likely voters (April 8-11) found Delaney leading a generic Republican 55%-31% and Trone 59%-31%, reflecting 50% Democratic registration versus 31% Republican and Harris's D+15 margin in 2024 presidential results. The fragmented Republican primary, with 54% undecided per the poll among GOP voters and candidates including Neil Parrott and Mariela Roca, limits GOP competitiveness despite Delaney's narrow 53%-47% 2024 win. Late surprises like national midterm dynamics or primary upsets could shift odds, but structural factors favor Democrats.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$10,230วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. April McClain Delaney faces a competitive Democratic primary challenge from self-funding former Rep. David Trone ahead of the June 23, 2026, contest, but trader consensus prices Democratic Party victory at 88% due to the district's D+3 Cook PVI, solid Democratic ratings from Cook, Sabato, and Inside Elections, and overwhelming general election advantages shown in recent polling. A Public Sentiment Institute survey of 309 likely voters (April 8-11) found Delaney leading a generic Republican 55%-31% and Trone 59%-31%, reflecting 50% Democratic registration versus 31% Republican and Harris's D+15 margin in 2024 presidential results. The fragmented Republican primary, with 54% undecided per the poll among GOP voters and candidates including Neil Parrott and Mariela Roca, limits GOP competitiveness despite Delaney's narrow 53%-47% 2024 win. Late surprises like national midterm dynamics or primary upsets could shift odds, but structural factors favor Democrats.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$10,230วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Rep. April McClain Delaney faces a competitive Democratic primary challenge from self-funding former Rep. David Trone ahead of the June 23, 2026, contest, but trader consensus prices Democratic Party victory at 88% due to the district's D+3 Cook PVI, solid Democratic ratings from Cook, Sabato, and Inside Elections, and overwhelming general election advantages shown in recent polling. A Public Sentiment Institute survey of 309 likely voters (April 8-11) found Delaney leading a generic Republican 55%-31% and Trone 59%-31%, reflecting 50% Democratic registration versus 31% Republican and Harris's D+15 margin in 2024 presidential results. The fragmented Republican primary, with 54% undecided per the poll among GOP voters and candidates including Neil Parrott and Mariela Roca, limits GOP competitiveness despite Delaney's narrow 53%-47% 2024 win. Late surprises like national midterm dynamics or primary upsets could shift odds, but structural factors favor Democrats.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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