Maryland’s 5th congressional district remains a solidly Democratic seat following Steny Hoyer’s retirement after more than four decades. Adrian Boafo secured the Democratic nomination in the June 2026 primary with establishment backing, including Hoyer’s endorsement, defeating a crowded field that included Quincy Bareebe and Harry Dunn. Chris Chaffee won the Republican primary. The district’s partisan voting index, consistent Democratic performance in recent cycles, and structural advantages for the nominee in a general election on November 3, 2026, underpin trader consensus around a Democratic outcome. Low-probability shifts could arise from an unforeseen scandal affecting the Democratic nominee, a sharp national Republican surge, or unusually strong turnout in southern Maryland counties, though historical patterns and current ratings from nonpartisan forecasters indicate limited scope for such changes.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วMD-05 House Election Winner
MD-05 House Election Winner
$18,184 ปริมาณ
$18,184 ปริมาณ
Nov 2, 2026
Democratic Party
96%
Republican Party
3%
$18,184 ปริมาณ
$18,184 ปริมาณ
Nov 2, 2026
Democratic Party
$8,754 ปริมาณ
96%
Republican Party
$9,430 ปริมาณ
3%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Maryland’s 5th congressional district remains a solidly Democratic seat following Steny Hoyer’s retirement after more than four decades. Adrian Boafo secured the Democratic nomination in the June 2026 primary with establishment backing, including Hoyer’s endorsement, defeating a crowded field that included Quincy Bareebe and Harry Dunn. Chris Chaffee won the Republican primary. The district’s partisan voting index, consistent Democratic performance in recent cycles, and structural advantages for the nominee in a general election on November 3, 2026, underpin trader consensus around a Democratic outcome. Low-probability shifts could arise from an unforeseen scandal affecting the Democratic nominee, a sharp national Republican surge, or unusually strong turnout in southern Maryland counties, though historical patterns and current ratings from nonpartisan forecasters indicate limited scope for such changes.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$18,184วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Maryland’s 5th congressional district remains a solidly Democratic seat following Steny Hoyer’s retirement after more than four decades. Adrian Boafo secured the Democratic nomination in the June 2026 primary with establishment backing, including Hoyer’s endorsement, defeating a crowded field that included Quincy Bareebe and Harry Dunn. Chris Chaffee won the Republican primary. The district’s partisan voting index, consistent Democratic performance in recent cycles, and structural advantages for the nominee in a general election on November 3, 2026, underpin trader consensus around a Democratic outcome. Low-probability shifts could arise from an unforeseen scandal affecting the Democratic nominee, a sharp national Republican surge, or unusually strong turnout in southern Maryland counties, though historical patterns and current ratings from nonpartisan forecasters indicate limited scope for such changes.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$18,184วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x2F5e3684c...Maryland’s 5th congressional district remains a solidly Democratic seat following Steny Hoyer’s retirement after more than four decades. Adrian Boafo secured the Democratic nomination in the June 2026 primary with establishment backing, including Hoyer’s endorsement, defeating a crowded field that included Quincy Bareebe and Harry Dunn. Chris Chaffee won the Republican primary. The district’s partisan voting index, consistent Democratic performance in recent cycles, and structural advantages for the nominee in a general election on November 3, 2026, underpin trader consensus around a Democratic outcome. Low-probability shifts could arise from an unforeseen scandal affecting the Democratic nominee, a sharp national Republican surge, or unusually strong turnout in southern Maryland counties, though historical patterns and current ratings from nonpartisan forecasters indicate limited scope for such changes.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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