Ritchie Torres secured the Democratic nomination in New York’s 15th Congressional District with roughly 72 percent of the primary vote in June 2026, defeating challengers focused on affordability and foreign policy differences. The solidly Democratic Bronx district, where Torres won reelection with over 76 percent in 2024, favors the incumbent’s record on housing, public safety, and local infrastructure. Forecasters rate the general election as safe or solid Democratic, producing trader consensus around Torres at 98.3 percent. The Republican nominee, Stylo Sapaskis, faces structural barriers in a district with consistent Democratic margins exceeding 50 points. Late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or unusually high third-party turnout could theoretically alter the outcome before November 3, though historical patterns in similar seats show limited volatility.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วNY-15 House Election Winner
NY-15 House Election Winner
$47,586 ปริมาณ
$47,586 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Ritchie Torres (D)
98%
Stylo Sapaskis (R)
<1%
$47,586 ปริมาณ
$47,586 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Ritchie Torres (D)
$27,077 ปริมาณ
98%
Stylo Sapaskis (R)
$20,509 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-15 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Ritchie Torres secured the Democratic nomination in New York’s 15th Congressional District with roughly 72 percent of the primary vote in June 2026, defeating challengers focused on affordability and foreign policy differences. The solidly Democratic Bronx district, where Torres won reelection with over 76 percent in 2024, favors the incumbent’s record on housing, public safety, and local infrastructure. Forecasters rate the general election as safe or solid Democratic, producing trader consensus around Torres at 98.3 percent. The Republican nominee, Stylo Sapaskis, faces structural barriers in a district with consistent Democratic margins exceeding 50 points. Late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or unusually high third-party turnout could theoretically alter the outcome before November 3, though historical patterns in similar seats show limited volatility.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-15 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$47,586วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 4, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-15 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Ritchie Torres secured the Democratic nomination in New York’s 15th Congressional District with roughly 72 percent of the primary vote in June 2026, defeating challengers focused on affordability and foreign policy differences. The solidly Democratic Bronx district, where Torres won reelection with over 76 percent in 2024, favors the incumbent’s record on housing, public safety, and local infrastructure. Forecasters rate the general election as safe or solid Democratic, producing trader consensus around Torres at 98.3 percent. The Republican nominee, Stylo Sapaskis, faces structural barriers in a district with consistent Democratic margins exceeding 50 points. Late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or unusually high third-party turnout could theoretically alter the outcome before November 3, though historical patterns in similar seats show limited volatility.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-15 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$47,586วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 4, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x2F5e3684c...Ritchie Torres secured the Democratic nomination in New York’s 15th Congressional District with roughly 72 percent of the primary vote in June 2026, defeating challengers focused on affordability and foreign policy differences. The solidly Democratic Bronx district, where Torres won reelection with over 76 percent in 2024, favors the incumbent’s record on housing, public safety, and local infrastructure. Forecasters rate the general election as safe or solid Democratic, producing trader consensus around Torres at 98.3 percent. The Republican nominee, Stylo Sapaskis, faces structural barriers in a district with consistent Democratic margins exceeding 50 points. Late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or unusually high third-party turnout could theoretically alter the outcome before November 3, though historical patterns in similar seats show limited volatility.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
คำถามที่พบบ่อย