Republican incumbent Monica De La Cruz faces Democratic challenger Bobby Pulido in the November 3 general election for Texas’s 15th congressional district. The 2025 redistricting shifted boundaries to include more rural counties north of the Rio Grande Valley, producing a Trump +18 baseline that favors Republicans, yet Pulido’s high name recognition as a Tejano musician has kept the race competitive. A late-August Texas Southern University poll of likely voters showed Pulido ahead 50-45, while most nonpartisan ratings classify the seat as Lean Republican or a toss-up. Fundraising favors De La Cruz, but local voter sentiment and turnout patterns among Hispanic voters in Hidalgo County remain the primary variables traders weigh when assessing the narrow Democratic edge reflected in current market prices.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วTX-15 House Election Winner
TX-15 House Election Winner
$17,582 ปริมาณ
$17,582 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
56%
Republican Party
46%
$17,582 ปริมาณ
$17,582 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$6,856 ปริมาณ
56%
Republican Party
$10,725 ปริมาณ
46%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-15 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican incumbent Monica De La Cruz faces Democratic challenger Bobby Pulido in the November 3 general election for Texas’s 15th congressional district. The 2025 redistricting shifted boundaries to include more rural counties north of the Rio Grande Valley, producing a Trump +18 baseline that favors Republicans, yet Pulido’s high name recognition as a Tejano musician has kept the race competitive. A late-August Texas Southern University poll of likely voters showed Pulido ahead 50-45, while most nonpartisan ratings classify the seat as Lean Republican or a toss-up. Fundraising favors De La Cruz, but local voter sentiment and turnout patterns among Hispanic voters in Hidalgo County remain the primary variables traders weigh when assessing the narrow Democratic edge reflected in current market prices.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-15 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$17,582วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 4, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-15 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican incumbent Monica De La Cruz faces Democratic challenger Bobby Pulido in the November 3 general election for Texas’s 15th congressional district. The 2025 redistricting shifted boundaries to include more rural counties north of the Rio Grande Valley, producing a Trump +18 baseline that favors Republicans, yet Pulido’s high name recognition as a Tejano musician has kept the race competitive. A late-August Texas Southern University poll of likely voters showed Pulido ahead 50-45, while most nonpartisan ratings classify the seat as Lean Republican or a toss-up. Fundraising favors De La Cruz, but local voter sentiment and turnout patterns among Hispanic voters in Hidalgo County remain the primary variables traders weigh when assessing the narrow Democratic edge reflected in current market prices.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-15 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$17,582วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 4, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x2F5e3684c...Republican incumbent Monica De La Cruz faces Democratic challenger Bobby Pulido in the November 3 general election for Texas’s 15th congressional district. The 2025 redistricting shifted boundaries to include more rural counties north of the Rio Grande Valley, producing a Trump +18 baseline that favors Republicans, yet Pulido’s high name recognition as a Tejano musician has kept the race competitive. A late-August Texas Southern University poll of likely voters showed Pulido ahead 50-45, while most nonpartisan ratings classify the seat as Lean Republican or a toss-up. Fundraising favors De La Cruz, but local voter sentiment and turnout patterns among Hispanic voters in Hidalgo County remain the primary variables traders weigh when assessing the narrow Democratic edge reflected in current market prices.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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