In Texas's 15th Congressional District, a battleground in the Latino-heavy Rio Grande Valley, trader consensus slightly favors Democrats at 54% following Bobby Pulido's 36-point Democratic primary landslide on March 3 over Ada Cuellar, signaling robust turnout potential from his Tejano musician celebrity among key voting blocs. Incumbent Rep. Monica De La Cruz (R), who won by 14 points in 2024 amid an R+7 partisan index, leads a recent Democratic-sponsored Public Policy Polling survey 41%-38% but trails in market odds amid sparse general polling. Superior Republican fundraising—De La Cruz holds $2.3 million cash-on-hand versus Pulido's $403,000—bolsters her position, yet the closely contested race hinges on Hispanic voter mobilization and midterm dynamics before the November 3 general election.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วTX-15 House Election Winner
TX-15 House Election Winner
ใหม่
ใหม่
Nov 4, 2026
Democratic Party
54%
Republican Party
44%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Nov 4, 2026
Democratic Party
$877 ปริมาณ
54%
Republican Party
$1,033 ปริมาณ
44%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-15 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).In Texas's 15th Congressional District, a battleground in the Latino-heavy Rio Grande Valley, trader consensus slightly favors Democrats at 54% following Bobby Pulido's 36-point Democratic primary landslide on March 3 over Ada Cuellar, signaling robust turnout potential from his Tejano musician celebrity among key voting blocs. Incumbent Rep. Monica De La Cruz (R), who won by 14 points in 2024 amid an R+7 partisan index, leads a recent Democratic-sponsored Public Policy Polling survey 41%-38% but trails in market odds amid sparse general polling. Superior Republican fundraising—De La Cruz holds $2.3 million cash-on-hand versus Pulido's $403,000—bolsters her position, yet the closely contested race hinges on Hispanic voter mobilization and midterm dynamics before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-15 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$1,910วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 4, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-15 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).In Texas's 15th Congressional District, a battleground in the Latino-heavy Rio Grande Valley, trader consensus slightly favors Democrats at 54% following Bobby Pulido's 36-point Democratic primary landslide on March 3 over Ada Cuellar, signaling robust turnout potential from his Tejano musician celebrity among key voting blocs. Incumbent Rep. Monica De La Cruz (R), who won by 14 points in 2024 amid an R+7 partisan index, leads a recent Democratic-sponsored Public Policy Polling survey 41%-38% but trails in market odds amid sparse general polling. Superior Republican fundraising—De La Cruz holds $2.3 million cash-on-hand versus Pulido's $403,000—bolsters her position, yet the closely contested race hinges on Hispanic voter mobilization and midterm dynamics before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-15 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$1,910วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 4, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...In Texas's 15th Congressional District, a battleground in the Latino-heavy Rio Grande Valley, trader consensus slightly favors Democrats at 54% following Bobby Pulido's 36-point Democratic primary landslide on March 3 over Ada Cuellar, signaling robust turnout potential from his Tejano musician celebrity among key voting blocs. Incumbent Rep. Monica De La Cruz (R), who won by 14 points in 2024 amid an R+7 partisan index, leads a recent Democratic-sponsored Public Policy Polling survey 41%-38% but trails in market odds amid sparse general polling. Superior Republican fundraising—De La Cruz holds $2.3 million cash-on-hand versus Pulido's $403,000—bolsters her position, yet the closely contested race hinges on Hispanic voter mobilization and midterm dynamics before the November 3 general election.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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