Incumbent Republican Mike Ezell commands trader consensus at 92.5% implied probability to win Mississippi's 4th Congressional District following his dominant 83.9% victory in the March 10, 2026, Republican primary over challenger Sawyer Walters, reinforcing his strong local support in this R+21 partisan voter index district—the 29th most Republican nationally. Ezell's prior general election margins exceeding 73% since 2022, combined with superior fundraising ($108,000 cash on hand as of February), underscore the steep barriers for Democratic nominee Jeffrey Hulum III, a state representative who prevailed in a low-turnout primary. No major developments have emerged since primaries, but scenarios like a late scandal, health issue, or unprecedented national Democratic wave could shift odds ahead of the November 3 general election.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วMS-04 House Election Winner
MS-04 House Election Winner
$19,268 ปริมาณ
$19,268 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
93%
Democratic Party
7%
$19,268 ปริมาณ
$19,268 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$6,328 ปริมาณ
93%
Democratic Party
$12,939 ปริมาณ
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Mike Ezell commands trader consensus at 92.5% implied probability to win Mississippi's 4th Congressional District following his dominant 83.9% victory in the March 10, 2026, Republican primary over challenger Sawyer Walters, reinforcing his strong local support in this R+21 partisan voter index district—the 29th most Republican nationally. Ezell's prior general election margins exceeding 73% since 2022, combined with superior fundraising ($108,000 cash on hand as of February), underscore the steep barriers for Democratic nominee Jeffrey Hulum III, a state representative who prevailed in a low-turnout primary. No major developments have emerged since primaries, but scenarios like a late scandal, health issue, or unprecedented national Democratic wave could shift odds ahead of the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$19,268วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Mike Ezell commands trader consensus at 92.5% implied probability to win Mississippi's 4th Congressional District following his dominant 83.9% victory in the March 10, 2026, Republican primary over challenger Sawyer Walters, reinforcing his strong local support in this R+21 partisan voter index district—the 29th most Republican nationally. Ezell's prior general election margins exceeding 73% since 2022, combined with superior fundraising ($108,000 cash on hand as of February), underscore the steep barriers for Democratic nominee Jeffrey Hulum III, a state representative who prevailed in a low-turnout primary. No major developments have emerged since primaries, but scenarios like a late scandal, health issue, or unprecedented national Democratic wave could shift odds ahead of the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$19,268วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Mike Ezell commands trader consensus at 92.5% implied probability to win Mississippi's 4th Congressional District following his dominant 83.9% victory in the March 10, 2026, Republican primary over challenger Sawyer Walters, reinforcing his strong local support in this R+21 partisan voter index district—the 29th most Republican nationally. Ezell's prior general election margins exceeding 73% since 2022, combined with superior fundraising ($108,000 cash on hand as of February), underscore the steep barriers for Democratic nominee Jeffrey Hulum III, a state representative who prevailed in a low-turnout primary. No major developments have emerged since primaries, but scenarios like a late scandal, health issue, or unprecedented national Democratic wave could shift odds ahead of the November 3 general election.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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