Incumbent Republican Michael Guest's commanding position in Mississippi's 3rd Congressional District, rated Solid Republican with an R+14 Cook Partisan Voter Index, drives trader consensus at 92.5% for the Republican Party in the November 3 general election. Guest advanced unopposed in the March 10 Republican primary with over 44,000 votes, boasting nearly $942,000 cash on hand as of late March, dwarfing Democrat Michael Chiaradio's $16,000 after his uncontested primary win on just 2,590 votes. Historical dominance—Guest's 2024 unopposed 100% victory and prior margins above 64%—cements the safe seat status amid Mississippi's Republican trifecta. Scenarios like a major Guest scandal, health issue, or extraordinary national Democratic midterm wave could shift odds, though structural barriers remain high.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วMS-03 House Election Winner
MS-03 House Election Winner
$23,593 ปริมาณ
$23,593 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
93%
Democratic Party
6%
$23,593 ปริมาณ
$23,593 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$4,439 ปริมาณ
93%
Democratic Party
$19,154 ปริมาณ
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Michael Guest's commanding position in Mississippi's 3rd Congressional District, rated Solid Republican with an R+14 Cook Partisan Voter Index, drives trader consensus at 92.5% for the Republican Party in the November 3 general election. Guest advanced unopposed in the March 10 Republican primary with over 44,000 votes, boasting nearly $942,000 cash on hand as of late March, dwarfing Democrat Michael Chiaradio's $16,000 after his uncontested primary win on just 2,590 votes. Historical dominance—Guest's 2024 unopposed 100% victory and prior margins above 64%—cements the safe seat status amid Mississippi's Republican trifecta. Scenarios like a major Guest scandal, health issue, or extraordinary national Democratic midterm wave could shift odds, though structural barriers remain high.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$23,593วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Michael Guest's commanding position in Mississippi's 3rd Congressional District, rated Solid Republican with an R+14 Cook Partisan Voter Index, drives trader consensus at 92.5% for the Republican Party in the November 3 general election. Guest advanced unopposed in the March 10 Republican primary with over 44,000 votes, boasting nearly $942,000 cash on hand as of late March, dwarfing Democrat Michael Chiaradio's $16,000 after his uncontested primary win on just 2,590 votes. Historical dominance—Guest's 2024 unopposed 100% victory and prior margins above 64%—cements the safe seat status amid Mississippi's Republican trifecta. Scenarios like a major Guest scandal, health issue, or extraordinary national Democratic midterm wave could shift odds, though structural barriers remain high.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$23,593วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Michael Guest's commanding position in Mississippi's 3rd Congressional District, rated Solid Republican with an R+14 Cook Partisan Voter Index, drives trader consensus at 92.5% for the Republican Party in the November 3 general election. Guest advanced unopposed in the March 10 Republican primary with over 44,000 votes, boasting nearly $942,000 cash on hand as of late March, dwarfing Democrat Michael Chiaradio's $16,000 after his uncontested primary win on just 2,590 votes. Historical dominance—Guest's 2024 unopposed 100% victory and prior margins above 64%—cements the safe seat status amid Mississippi's Republican trifecta. Scenarios like a major Guest scandal, health issue, or extraordinary national Democratic midterm wave could shift odds, though structural barriers remain high.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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