Rick Larsen's long incumbency in Washington's 2nd Congressional District, combined with its consistent Democratic lean (Cook PVI D+12), anchors trader pricing near 96-97% for a Democratic hold. The August 4, 2026 top-two primary confirmed the general election matchup, with Larsen at 44.9% and Republican newcomer Edwin Feller at 32.9% after other Democrats split the remainder. Forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic, citing Larsen's fundraising edge, committee seniority on transportation and armed services issues, and the district's voting history, including Kamala Harris's 2024 margin. Limited recent polling and low campaign visibility for the 83-year-old Feller reinforce the gap. A late scandal, health event, or sharp national partisan swing could narrow the outcome before the November 3 vote, though structural factors make such shifts improbable.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วWA-02 House Election Winner
WA-02 House Election Winner
$32,272 ปริมาณ
$32,272 ปริมาณ
Nov 2, 2026
Rick Larsen (D)
97%
Edwin Feller (R)
1%
$32,272 ปริมาณ
$32,272 ปริมาณ
Nov 2, 2026
Rick Larsen (D)
$13,157 ปริมาณ
97%
Edwin Feller (R)
$19,115 ปริมาณ
1%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Rick Larsen's long incumbency in Washington's 2nd Congressional District, combined with its consistent Democratic lean (Cook PVI D+12), anchors trader pricing near 96-97% for a Democratic hold. The August 4, 2026 top-two primary confirmed the general election matchup, with Larsen at 44.9% and Republican newcomer Edwin Feller at 32.9% after other Democrats split the remainder. Forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic, citing Larsen's fundraising edge, committee seniority on transportation and armed services issues, and the district's voting history, including Kamala Harris's 2024 margin. Limited recent polling and low campaign visibility for the 83-year-old Feller reinforce the gap. A late scandal, health event, or sharp national partisan swing could narrow the outcome before the November 3 vote, though structural factors make such shifts improbable.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$32,272วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Rick Larsen's long incumbency in Washington's 2nd Congressional District, combined with its consistent Democratic lean (Cook PVI D+12), anchors trader pricing near 96-97% for a Democratic hold. The August 4, 2026 top-two primary confirmed the general election matchup, with Larsen at 44.9% and Republican newcomer Edwin Feller at 32.9% after other Democrats split the remainder. Forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic, citing Larsen's fundraising edge, committee seniority on transportation and armed services issues, and the district's voting history, including Kamala Harris's 2024 margin. Limited recent polling and low campaign visibility for the 83-year-old Feller reinforce the gap. A late scandal, health event, or sharp national partisan swing could narrow the outcome before the November 3 vote, though structural factors make such shifts improbable.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$32,272วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x2F5e3684c...Rick Larsen's long incumbency in Washington's 2nd Congressional District, combined with its consistent Democratic lean (Cook PVI D+12), anchors trader pricing near 96-97% for a Democratic hold. The August 4, 2026 top-two primary confirmed the general election matchup, with Larsen at 44.9% and Republican newcomer Edwin Feller at 32.9% after other Democrats split the remainder. Forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic, citing Larsen's fundraising edge, committee seniority on transportation and armed services issues, and the district's voting history, including Kamala Harris's 2024 margin. Limited recent polling and low campaign visibility for the 83-year-old Feller reinforce the gap. A late scandal, health event, or sharp national partisan swing could narrow the outcome before the November 3 vote, though structural factors make such shifts improbable.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
คำถามที่พบบ่อย