Rick Larsen, the longtime Democratic incumbent first elected in 2000, anchors the strong trader consensus favoring the Democratic Party in Washington's 2nd Congressional District. The seat carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+12 and receives Solid Democratic or Safe Democratic ratings from forecasters, reflecting consistent Democratic performance in recent presidential and House elections. With the August 4, 2026 top-two primary approaching and limited Republican opposition filed, few developments have shifted the race. A commanding Democratic edge in fundraising and the absence of competitive polling further support current pricing. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include a major scandal or health event affecting the incumbent, an unexpectedly strong Republican performance in the primary advancing a viable general-election candidate, or a broader national Republican wave that overcomes the district's structural Democratic lean.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วWA-02 House Election Winner
$11,312 ปริมาณ
$11,312 ปริมาณ
Democratic Party
94%
Republican Party
7%
$11,312 ปริมาณ
$11,312 ปริมาณ
Democratic Party
94%
Republican Party
7%
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Rick Larsen, the longtime Democratic incumbent first elected in 2000, anchors the strong trader consensus favoring the Democratic Party in Washington's 2nd Congressional District. The seat carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+12 and receives Solid Democratic or Safe Democratic ratings from forecasters, reflecting consistent Democratic performance in recent presidential and House elections. With the August 4, 2026 top-two primary approaching and limited Republican opposition filed, few developments have shifted the race. A commanding Democratic edge in fundraising and the absence of competitive polling further support current pricing. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include a major scandal or health event affecting the incumbent, an unexpectedly strong Republican performance in the primary advancing a viable general-election candidate, or a broader national Republican wave that overcomes the district's structural Democratic lean.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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