Incumbent Democrat Marie Gluesenkamp Perez holds a modest edge in trader consensus for the WA-03 seat due to her narrow 2024 victory and the district's history of tight partisan margins. Republican challenger John Braun, the state Senate minority leader, gained visibility from a Trump endorsement in April 2026 and leads some early Republican-leaning polls, yet the nonpartisan primary on August 4 keeps multiple Democratic and Republican options in play. Recent fundraising reports show Perez maintaining a substantial cash advantage while Braun builds support, underscoring the competitive nature of this swing district where small shifts in turnout or candidate positioning could alter outcomes before November 2026.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วWA-03 House Election Winner
Republican Party
21%
Democratic Party
44%
Republican Party
21%
Democratic Party
44%
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Dec 16, 2025, 1:15 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Marie Gluesenkamp Perez holds a modest edge in trader consensus for the WA-03 seat due to her narrow 2024 victory and the district's history of tight partisan margins. Republican challenger John Braun, the state Senate minority leader, gained visibility from a Trump endorsement in April 2026 and leads some early Republican-leaning polls, yet the nonpartisan primary on August 4 keeps multiple Democratic and Republican options in play. Recent fundraising reports show Perez maintaining a substantial cash advantage while Braun builds support, underscoring the competitive nature of this swing district where small shifts in turnout or candidate positioning could alter outcomes before November 2026.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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