**Marie Gluesenkamp Perez holds an overwhelming edge in the WA-03 general election matchup after advancing from the August 4 top-two primary alongside Republican John Braun.** In that contest, Perez captured roughly 39 percent while Braun took about 40 percent, with a progressive Democratic challenger drawing 17 percent; the combined Democratic share exceeded 55 percent against roughly 42 percent for Republicans. This outcome, in a district that backed Donald Trump in 2024 yet elected and re-elected the moderate Blue Dog incumbent in 2022 and 2024, has reinforced trader views of Perez’s structural advantages, including incumbency, stronger fundraising, and appeal to the district’s swing voters. Braun, the state Senate minority leader endorsed by Trump, faces a narrower path in a race rated toss-up or lean Democratic by most forecasters. The November 3 general remains months away, but the primary results and vote math have anchored current market pricing.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วWA-03 House Election Winner
WA-03 House Election Winner
$34,169 ปริมาณ
$34,169 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Marie Gluesenkamp Perez (D)
87%
John Braun (R)
13%
$34,169 ปริมาณ
$34,169 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Marie Gluesenkamp Perez (D)
$23,177 ปริมาณ
87%
John Braun (R)
$10,992 ปริมาณ
13%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).**Marie Gluesenkamp Perez holds an overwhelming edge in the WA-03 general election matchup after advancing from the August 4 top-two primary alongside Republican John Braun.** In that contest, Perez captured roughly 39 percent while Braun took about 40 percent, with a progressive Democratic challenger drawing 17 percent; the combined Democratic share exceeded 55 percent against roughly 42 percent for Republicans. This outcome, in a district that backed Donald Trump in 2024 yet elected and re-elected the moderate Blue Dog incumbent in 2022 and 2024, has reinforced trader views of Perez’s structural advantages, including incumbency, stronger fundraising, and appeal to the district’s swing voters. Braun, the state Senate minority leader endorsed by Trump, faces a narrower path in a race rated toss-up or lean Democratic by most forecasters. The November 3 general remains months away, but the primary results and vote math have anchored current market pricing.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Dec 16, 2025, 1:15 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$34,169วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 4, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Dec 16, 2025, 1:15 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).**Marie Gluesenkamp Perez holds an overwhelming edge in the WA-03 general election matchup after advancing from the August 4 top-two primary alongside Republican John Braun.** In that contest, Perez captured roughly 39 percent while Braun took about 40 percent, with a progressive Democratic challenger drawing 17 percent; the combined Democratic share exceeded 55 percent against roughly 42 percent for Republicans. This outcome, in a district that backed Donald Trump in 2024 yet elected and re-elected the moderate Blue Dog incumbent in 2022 and 2024, has reinforced trader views of Perez’s structural advantages, including incumbency, stronger fundraising, and appeal to the district’s swing voters. Braun, the state Senate minority leader endorsed by Trump, faces a narrower path in a race rated toss-up or lean Democratic by most forecasters. The November 3 general remains months away, but the primary results and vote math have anchored current market pricing.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$34,169วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 4, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Dec 16, 2025, 1:15 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x2F5e3684c...**Marie Gluesenkamp Perez holds an overwhelming edge in the WA-03 general election matchup after advancing from the August 4 top-two primary alongside Republican John Braun.** In that contest, Perez captured roughly 39 percent while Braun took about 40 percent, with a progressive Democratic challenger drawing 17 percent; the combined Democratic share exceeded 55 percent against roughly 42 percent for Republicans. This outcome, in a district that backed Donald Trump in 2024 yet elected and re-elected the moderate Blue Dog incumbent in 2022 and 2024, has reinforced trader views of Perez’s structural advantages, including incumbency, stronger fundraising, and appeal to the district’s swing voters. Braun, the state Senate minority leader endorsed by Trump, faces a narrower path in a race rated toss-up or lean Democratic by most forecasters. The November 3 general remains months away, but the primary results and vote math have anchored current market pricing.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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