Oklahoma’s 1st congressional district carries an R+11 Partisan Voter Index and has been rated Solid or Safe Republican by major forecasters ahead of the November 2026 general election. The seat opened after incumbent Kevin Hern sought a U.S. Senate nomination, prompting a crowded Republican primary that narrowed to state Representative Mark Tedford and Jackson Lahmeyer before Lahmeyer withdrew following the June primary. Tedford secured the nomination and now faces Democrat John Croisant, who ran unopposed in his primary. Traders price the Republican outcome at 90.5 percent because the district’s consistent voting patterns, limited Democratic infrastructure, and absence of competitive polling leave few near-term catalysts for an upset. A late scandal, unusually low Republican turnout, or an unanticipated national shift could narrow the gap, though structural barriers remain substantial.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วOK-01 House Election Winner
OK-01 House Election Winner
$25,122 ปริมาณ
$25,122 ปริมาณ
Nov 2, 2026
Republican Party
91%
Democratic Party
9%
$25,122 ปริมาณ
$25,122 ปริมาณ
Nov 2, 2026
Republican Party
$13,268 ปริมาณ
91%
Democratic Party
$11,854 ปริมาณ
9%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OK-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Oklahoma’s 1st congressional district carries an R+11 Partisan Voter Index and has been rated Solid or Safe Republican by major forecasters ahead of the November 2026 general election. The seat opened after incumbent Kevin Hern sought a U.S. Senate nomination, prompting a crowded Republican primary that narrowed to state Representative Mark Tedford and Jackson Lahmeyer before Lahmeyer withdrew following the June primary. Tedford secured the nomination and now faces Democrat John Croisant, who ran unopposed in his primary. Traders price the Republican outcome at 90.5 percent because the district’s consistent voting patterns, limited Democratic infrastructure, and absence of competitive polling leave few near-term catalysts for an upset. A late scandal, unusually low Republican turnout, or an unanticipated national shift could narrow the gap, though structural barriers remain substantial.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OK-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$25,122วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OK-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Oklahoma’s 1st congressional district carries an R+11 Partisan Voter Index and has been rated Solid or Safe Republican by major forecasters ahead of the November 2026 general election. The seat opened after incumbent Kevin Hern sought a U.S. Senate nomination, prompting a crowded Republican primary that narrowed to state Representative Mark Tedford and Jackson Lahmeyer before Lahmeyer withdrew following the June primary. Tedford secured the nomination and now faces Democrat John Croisant, who ran unopposed in his primary. Traders price the Republican outcome at 90.5 percent because the district’s consistent voting patterns, limited Democratic infrastructure, and absence of competitive polling leave few near-term catalysts for an upset. A late scandal, unusually low Republican turnout, or an unanticipated national shift could narrow the gap, though structural barriers remain substantial.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OK-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$25,122วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x2F5e3684c...Oklahoma’s 1st congressional district carries an R+11 Partisan Voter Index and has been rated Solid or Safe Republican by major forecasters ahead of the November 2026 general election. The seat opened after incumbent Kevin Hern sought a U.S. Senate nomination, prompting a crowded Republican primary that narrowed to state Representative Mark Tedford and Jackson Lahmeyer before Lahmeyer withdrew following the June primary. Tedford secured the nomination and now faces Democrat John Croisant, who ran unopposed in his primary. Traders price the Republican outcome at 90.5 percent because the district’s consistent voting patterns, limited Democratic infrastructure, and absence of competitive polling leave few near-term catalysts for an upset. A late scandal, unusually low Republican turnout, or an unanticipated national shift could narrow the gap, though structural barriers remain substantial.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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