Kentucky's 6th Congressional District open seat, created by Rep. Andy Barr's (R) run for U.S. Senate, anchors trader consensus at 72.5% for a Republican winner, reflecting the district's R+7 Cook Partisan Voter Index, Solid Republican ratings from forecasters like Cook Political Report and Inside Elections, and Trump's 15-point 2024 margin despite Barr's 26-point reelection victory. Crowded May 19 primaries pit well-funded GOP contender Adam Perez Arquette ($5 million receipts) and endorsed ex-state Sen. Ralph Alvarado against Democrat Zach Dembo (fundraising leader) and former Rep. Cherlynn Stevenson, backed by Lt. Gov. Jacqueline Coleman. Recent April 16 candidate profiles and early voting schedules (starting May 6) highlight GOP primary strength in this historically Republican stronghold, with DCCC's Red-to-Blue interest yet to alter entrenched odds ahead of the November 3 general election.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วKY-06 House Election Winner
KY-06 House Election Winner
$18,395 ปริมาณ
$18,395 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
71%
Democratic Party
25%
$18,395 ปริมาณ
$18,395 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$6,742 ปริมาณ
71%
Democratic Party
$11,652 ปริมาณ
25%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KY-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Kentucky's 6th Congressional District open seat, created by Rep. Andy Barr's (R) run for U.S. Senate, anchors trader consensus at 72.5% for a Republican winner, reflecting the district's R+7 Cook Partisan Voter Index, Solid Republican ratings from forecasters like Cook Political Report and Inside Elections, and Trump's 15-point 2024 margin despite Barr's 26-point reelection victory. Crowded May 19 primaries pit well-funded GOP contender Adam Perez Arquette ($5 million receipts) and endorsed ex-state Sen. Ralph Alvarado against Democrat Zach Dembo (fundraising leader) and former Rep. Cherlynn Stevenson, backed by Lt. Gov. Jacqueline Coleman. Recent April 16 candidate profiles and early voting schedules (starting May 6) highlight GOP primary strength in this historically Republican stronghold, with DCCC's Red-to-Blue interest yet to alter entrenched odds ahead of the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KY-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$18,395วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KY-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Kentucky's 6th Congressional District open seat, created by Rep. Andy Barr's (R) run for U.S. Senate, anchors trader consensus at 72.5% for a Republican winner, reflecting the district's R+7 Cook Partisan Voter Index, Solid Republican ratings from forecasters like Cook Political Report and Inside Elections, and Trump's 15-point 2024 margin despite Barr's 26-point reelection victory. Crowded May 19 primaries pit well-funded GOP contender Adam Perez Arquette ($5 million receipts) and endorsed ex-state Sen. Ralph Alvarado against Democrat Zach Dembo (fundraising leader) and former Rep. Cherlynn Stevenson, backed by Lt. Gov. Jacqueline Coleman. Recent April 16 candidate profiles and early voting schedules (starting May 6) highlight GOP primary strength in this historically Republican stronghold, with DCCC's Red-to-Blue interest yet to alter entrenched odds ahead of the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KY-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$18,395วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Kentucky's 6th Congressional District open seat, created by Rep. Andy Barr's (R) run for U.S. Senate, anchors trader consensus at 72.5% for a Republican winner, reflecting the district's R+7 Cook Partisan Voter Index, Solid Republican ratings from forecasters like Cook Political Report and Inside Elections, and Trump's 15-point 2024 margin despite Barr's 26-point reelection victory. Crowded May 19 primaries pit well-funded GOP contender Adam Perez Arquette ($5 million receipts) and endorsed ex-state Sen. Ralph Alvarado against Democrat Zach Dembo (fundraising leader) and former Rep. Cherlynn Stevenson, backed by Lt. Gov. Jacqueline Coleman. Recent April 16 candidate profiles and early voting schedules (starting May 6) highlight GOP primary strength in this historically Republican stronghold, with DCCC's Red-to-Blue interest yet to alter entrenched odds ahead of the November 3 general election.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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