Republican Ralph Alvarado leads Democrat Zach Dembo in the open Kentucky 6th congressional district race, with traders assigning the GOP a 72% implied probability. The district carries an R+7 partisan voter index and supported Donald Trump by 15 points in 2024, providing a structural Republican advantage after incumbent Andy Barr vacated the seat to run for Senate. Alvarado secured the Republican nomination in the May 19 primary, while Dembo won the Democratic contest; recent polling from July and August shows the general election contest within single digits or tied, though forecasters rate the seat Likely Republican. Democratic optimism centers on Governor Andy Beshear’s favorable local ratings and turnout potential in central Kentucky counties including Lexington, yet the district’s voting history and midterm dynamics continue to anchor trader expectations around a GOP hold.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วKY-06 House Election Winner
KY-06 House Election Winner
$34,970 ปริมาณ
$34,970 ปริมาณ
Nov 2, 2026
Republican Party
72%
Democratic Party
26%
$34,970 ปริมาณ
$34,970 ปริมาณ
Nov 2, 2026
Republican Party
$14,989 ปริมาณ
72%
Democratic Party
$19,981 ปริมาณ
26%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KY-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican Ralph Alvarado leads Democrat Zach Dembo in the open Kentucky 6th congressional district race, with traders assigning the GOP a 72% implied probability. The district carries an R+7 partisan voter index and supported Donald Trump by 15 points in 2024, providing a structural Republican advantage after incumbent Andy Barr vacated the seat to run for Senate. Alvarado secured the Republican nomination in the May 19 primary, while Dembo won the Democratic contest; recent polling from July and August shows the general election contest within single digits or tied, though forecasters rate the seat Likely Republican. Democratic optimism centers on Governor Andy Beshear’s favorable local ratings and turnout potential in central Kentucky counties including Lexington, yet the district’s voting history and midterm dynamics continue to anchor trader expectations around a GOP hold.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KY-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$34,970วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KY-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican Ralph Alvarado leads Democrat Zach Dembo in the open Kentucky 6th congressional district race, with traders assigning the GOP a 72% implied probability. The district carries an R+7 partisan voter index and supported Donald Trump by 15 points in 2024, providing a structural Republican advantage after incumbent Andy Barr vacated the seat to run for Senate. Alvarado secured the Republican nomination in the May 19 primary, while Dembo won the Democratic contest; recent polling from July and August shows the general election contest within single digits or tied, though forecasters rate the seat Likely Republican. Democratic optimism centers on Governor Andy Beshear’s favorable local ratings and turnout potential in central Kentucky counties including Lexington, yet the district’s voting history and midterm dynamics continue to anchor trader expectations around a GOP hold.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KY-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$34,970วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x2F5e3684c...Republican Ralph Alvarado leads Democrat Zach Dembo in the open Kentucky 6th congressional district race, with traders assigning the GOP a 72% implied probability. The district carries an R+7 partisan voter index and supported Donald Trump by 15 points in 2024, providing a structural Republican advantage after incumbent Andy Barr vacated the seat to run for Senate. Alvarado secured the Republican nomination in the May 19 primary, while Dembo won the Democratic contest; recent polling from July and August shows the general election contest within single digits or tied, though forecasters rate the seat Likely Republican. Democratic optimism centers on Governor Andy Beshear’s favorable local ratings and turnout potential in central Kentucky counties including Lexington, yet the district’s voting history and midterm dynamics continue to anchor trader expectations around a GOP hold.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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