Incumbent Republican Frank Lucas's long tenure since 1994, decisive 70.8% victory in the June 16 primary, and substantial fundraising advantage anchor trader consensus around a 96.5% implied probability for the Republican Party in Oklahoma's 3rd Congressional District. The seat carries an R+23 Partisan Voter Index, placing it among the nation's most Republican-leaning districts, with all major forecasters rating it Solid or Safe Republican ahead of the November 3 general election against Democrat Suzie Byrd. Historical patterns in comparable districts show limited vulnerability to midterm swings. A shift would require an unforeseen development such as a major scandal, health event affecting Lucas, or an extraordinary national partisan wave exceeding typical base-rate outcomes.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วOK-03 House Election Winner
OK-03 House Election Winner
$105,122 ปริมาณ
$105,122 ปริมาณ
Nov 2, 2026
Republican Party
96%
Democratic Party
1%
$105,122 ปริมาณ
$105,122 ปริมาณ
Nov 2, 2026
Republican Party
$61,086 ปริมาณ
96%
Democratic Party
$44,036 ปริมาณ
1%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OK-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Frank Lucas's long tenure since 1994, decisive 70.8% victory in the June 16 primary, and substantial fundraising advantage anchor trader consensus around a 96.5% implied probability for the Republican Party in Oklahoma's 3rd Congressional District. The seat carries an R+23 Partisan Voter Index, placing it among the nation's most Republican-leaning districts, with all major forecasters rating it Solid or Safe Republican ahead of the November 3 general election against Democrat Suzie Byrd. Historical patterns in comparable districts show limited vulnerability to midterm swings. A shift would require an unforeseen development such as a major scandal, health event affecting Lucas, or an extraordinary national partisan wave exceeding typical base-rate outcomes.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OK-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$105,122วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OK-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Frank Lucas's long tenure since 1994, decisive 70.8% victory in the June 16 primary, and substantial fundraising advantage anchor trader consensus around a 96.5% implied probability for the Republican Party in Oklahoma's 3rd Congressional District. The seat carries an R+23 Partisan Voter Index, placing it among the nation's most Republican-leaning districts, with all major forecasters rating it Solid or Safe Republican ahead of the November 3 general election against Democrat Suzie Byrd. Historical patterns in comparable districts show limited vulnerability to midterm swings. A shift would require an unforeseen development such as a major scandal, health event affecting Lucas, or an extraordinary national partisan wave exceeding typical base-rate outcomes.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OK-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$105,122วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Frank Lucas's long tenure since 1994, decisive 70.8% victory in the June 16 primary, and substantial fundraising advantage anchor trader consensus around a 96.5% implied probability for the Republican Party in Oklahoma's 3rd Congressional District. The seat carries an R+23 Partisan Voter Index, placing it among the nation's most Republican-leaning districts, with all major forecasters rating it Solid or Safe Republican ahead of the November 3 general election against Democrat Suzie Byrd. Historical patterns in comparable districts show limited vulnerability to midterm swings. A shift would require an unforeseen development such as a major scandal, health event affecting Lucas, or an extraordinary national partisan wave exceeding typical base-rate outcomes.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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