Incumbent Republican Tom Cole secured the party's nomination in the June 2026 primary with over 71 percent of the vote in Oklahoma's 4th congressional district, setting up a general election matchup against Democrat Mitchell Jacob and an independent candidate. The district carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+17 and has drawn unanimous "solid" or "safe" Republican ratings from major forecasters, reflecting consistent GOP performance in recent presidential and congressional cycles. Cole's long tenure, committee influence, and primary margin have reinforced trader expectations of continued Republican control. A decisive national Democratic surge, late-breaking scandal, or unforeseen candidate withdrawal could narrow the margin, though the underlying partisan fundamentals and absence of competitive polling shifts make such outcomes improbable before the November 3 general election.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วOK-04 House Election Winner
OK-04 House Election Winner
$25,568 ปริมาณ
$25,568 ปริมาณ
Nov 2, 2026
Republican Party
94%
Democratic Party
6%
$25,568 ปริมาณ
$25,568 ปริมาณ
Nov 2, 2026
Republican Party
$14,694 ปริมาณ
94%
Democratic Party
$10,874 ปริมาณ
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OK-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Tom Cole secured the party's nomination in the June 2026 primary with over 71 percent of the vote in Oklahoma's 4th congressional district, setting up a general election matchup against Democrat Mitchell Jacob and an independent candidate. The district carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+17 and has drawn unanimous "solid" or "safe" Republican ratings from major forecasters, reflecting consistent GOP performance in recent presidential and congressional cycles. Cole's long tenure, committee influence, and primary margin have reinforced trader expectations of continued Republican control. A decisive national Democratic surge, late-breaking scandal, or unforeseen candidate withdrawal could narrow the margin, though the underlying partisan fundamentals and absence of competitive polling shifts make such outcomes improbable before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OK-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$25,568วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OK-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Tom Cole secured the party's nomination in the June 2026 primary with over 71 percent of the vote in Oklahoma's 4th congressional district, setting up a general election matchup against Democrat Mitchell Jacob and an independent candidate. The district carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+17 and has drawn unanimous "solid" or "safe" Republican ratings from major forecasters, reflecting consistent GOP performance in recent presidential and congressional cycles. Cole's long tenure, committee influence, and primary margin have reinforced trader expectations of continued Republican control. A decisive national Democratic surge, late-breaking scandal, or unforeseen candidate withdrawal could narrow the margin, though the underlying partisan fundamentals and absence of competitive polling shifts make such outcomes improbable before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OK-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$25,568วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Tom Cole secured the party's nomination in the June 2026 primary with over 71 percent of the vote in Oklahoma's 4th congressional district, setting up a general election matchup against Democrat Mitchell Jacob and an independent candidate. The district carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+17 and has drawn unanimous "solid" or "safe" Republican ratings from major forecasters, reflecting consistent GOP performance in recent presidential and congressional cycles. Cole's long tenure, committee influence, and primary margin have reinforced trader expectations of continued Republican control. A decisive national Democratic surge, late-breaking scandal, or unforeseen candidate withdrawal could narrow the margin, though the underlying partisan fundamentals and absence of competitive polling shifts make such outcomes improbable before the November 3 general election.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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