Incumbent Rep. Brad Finstad's 17-point victory in the 2024 general election within Minnesota's R+6 district underpins trader consensus favoring Republicans at 59.5% to retain the MN-01 House seat, bolstered by incumbency advantages and historical base rates for safe Republican districts. Recent first-quarter fundraising reports reveal Democrat Jake Johnson significantly outpacing Finstad, prompting the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee to target the race, while February polls depicted Johnson within striking distance amid a challenging national environment for House Republicans. With filing deadline approaching on June 2 and primaries on August 11, these catalysts have sustained Democratic viability at 40%, highlighting early-cycle uncertainty.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วMN-01 House Election Winner
MN-01 House Election Winner
ใหม่
ใหม่
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
60%
Democratic Party
41%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$2,399 ปริมาณ
60%
Democratic Party
$2,564 ปริมาณ
41%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. Brad Finstad's 17-point victory in the 2024 general election within Minnesota's R+6 district underpins trader consensus favoring Republicans at 59.5% to retain the MN-01 House seat, bolstered by incumbency advantages and historical base rates for safe Republican districts. Recent first-quarter fundraising reports reveal Democrat Jake Johnson significantly outpacing Finstad, prompting the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee to target the race, while February polls depicted Johnson within striking distance amid a challenging national environment for House Republicans. With filing deadline approaching on June 2 and primaries on August 11, these catalysts have sustained Democratic viability at 40%, highlighting early-cycle uncertainty.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$4,963วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. Brad Finstad's 17-point victory in the 2024 general election within Minnesota's R+6 district underpins trader consensus favoring Republicans at 59.5% to retain the MN-01 House seat, bolstered by incumbency advantages and historical base rates for safe Republican districts. Recent first-quarter fundraising reports reveal Democrat Jake Johnson significantly outpacing Finstad, prompting the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee to target the race, while February polls depicted Johnson within striking distance amid a challenging national environment for House Republicans. With filing deadline approaching on June 2 and primaries on August 11, these catalysts have sustained Democratic viability at 40%, highlighting early-cycle uncertainty.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$4,963วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Rep. Brad Finstad's 17-point victory in the 2024 general election within Minnesota's R+6 district underpins trader consensus favoring Republicans at 59.5% to retain the MN-01 House seat, bolstered by incumbency advantages and historical base rates for safe Republican districts. Recent first-quarter fundraising reports reveal Democrat Jake Johnson significantly outpacing Finstad, prompting the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee to target the race, while February polls depicted Johnson within striking distance amid a challenging national environment for House Republicans. With filing deadline approaching on June 2 and primaries on August 11, these catalysts have sustained Democratic viability at 40%, highlighting early-cycle uncertainty.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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