Incumbent Republican Andrew Harris holds a commanding position in Maryland’s 1st congressional district, a solidly Republican seat on the Eastern Shore that forecasters rate as Safe or Solid Republican. Harris secured renomination in the June 2026 primary with roughly 80 percent of the vote and maintains a substantial fundraising edge. A July 2026 poll showed him leading Democratic nominee Dan Schwartz 52 percent to 39 percent. The district’s partisan composition, Harris’s long tenure since 2011, and limited competitive history reinforce trader consensus reflected in the 93.5 percent Republican probability. Potential shifts could arise from an unforeseen scandal, health development, or unusually strong Democratic turnout in the final weeks before the November 3 general election.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วMD-01 House Election Winner
$58,550 ปริมาณ
$58,550 ปริมาณ
Republican Party
94%
Democratic Party
6%
$58,550 ปริมาณ
$58,550 ปริมาณ
Republican Party
94%
Democratic Party
6%
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
ผู้ตัดสินผล
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ผู้ตัดสินผล
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Andrew Harris holds a commanding position in Maryland’s 1st congressional district, a solidly Republican seat on the Eastern Shore that forecasters rate as Safe or Solid Republican. Harris secured renomination in the June 2026 primary with roughly 80 percent of the vote and maintains a substantial fundraising edge. A July 2026 poll showed him leading Democratic nominee Dan Schwartz 52 percent to 39 percent. The district’s partisan composition, Harris’s long tenure since 2011, and limited competitive history reinforce trader consensus reflected in the 93.5 percent Republican probability. Potential shifts could arise from an unforeseen scandal, health development, or unusually strong Democratic turnout in the final weeks before the November 3 general election.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว

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