Texas’s 37th congressional district, redrawn after the 2020 census to center on Austin, carries a strong Democratic lean reflected in its Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent electoral history. Incumbent Democrat Greg Casar, first elected in 2022, faces limited opposition in the solidly blue urban core, where Democratic primary voters and general-election turnout patterns have produced wide margins. Trader pricing at 96.9 percent for the Democratic nominee aligns with these structural factors and the absence of competitive Republican recruitment or recent polling shifts. A credible challenge would require an unexpected primary upset, a major candidate-specific development, or an unusually strong Republican national environment capable of overcoming the district’s partisan baseline before November 2026.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วTX-37 House Election Winner
TX-37 House Election Winner
$33,693 ปริมาณ
$33,693 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
97%
Republican Party
2%
$33,693 ปริมาณ
$33,693 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$17,159 ปริมาณ
97%
Republican Party
$16,534 ปริมาณ
2%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-37 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Texas’s 37th congressional district, redrawn after the 2020 census to center on Austin, carries a strong Democratic lean reflected in its Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent electoral history. Incumbent Democrat Greg Casar, first elected in 2022, faces limited opposition in the solidly blue urban core, where Democratic primary voters and general-election turnout patterns have produced wide margins. Trader pricing at 96.9 percent for the Democratic nominee aligns with these structural factors and the absence of competitive Republican recruitment or recent polling shifts. A credible challenge would require an unexpected primary upset, a major candidate-specific development, or an unusually strong Republican national environment capable of overcoming the district’s partisan baseline before November 2026.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-37 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$33,693วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-37 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Texas’s 37th congressional district, redrawn after the 2020 census to center on Austin, carries a strong Democratic lean reflected in its Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent electoral history. Incumbent Democrat Greg Casar, first elected in 2022, faces limited opposition in the solidly blue urban core, where Democratic primary voters and general-election turnout patterns have produced wide margins. Trader pricing at 96.9 percent for the Democratic nominee aligns with these structural factors and the absence of competitive Republican recruitment or recent polling shifts. A credible challenge would require an unexpected primary upset, a major candidate-specific development, or an unusually strong Republican national environment capable of overcoming the district’s partisan baseline before November 2026.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-37 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$33,693วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Texas’s 37th congressional district, redrawn after the 2020 census to center on Austin, carries a strong Democratic lean reflected in its Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent electoral history. Incumbent Democrat Greg Casar, first elected in 2022, faces limited opposition in the solidly blue urban core, where Democratic primary voters and general-election turnout patterns have produced wide margins. Trader pricing at 96.9 percent for the Democratic nominee aligns with these structural factors and the absence of competitive Republican recruitment or recent polling shifts. A credible challenge would require an unexpected primary upset, a major candidate-specific development, or an unusually strong Republican national environment capable of overcoming the district’s partisan baseline before November 2026.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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