Texas's 38th congressional district, a suburban Houston seat with a Republican-leaning partisan voting index, features an open race after incumbent Wesley Hunt retired to pursue a U.S. Senate bid. Jon Bonck secured the Republican nomination in the May 26 runoff against Shelly deZevallos, backed by former President Trump and major fundraising. Democrat Melissa McDonough won her party's primary. Nonpartisan ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball classify the contest as solid or safe Republican. These structural factors and primary results align with trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee in the November general election, while the Democratic candidate's path remains narrow absent major shifts in turnout or national conditions.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วTX-38 House Election Winner
TX-38 House Election Winner
$17,622 ปริมาณ
$17,622 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
81%
Democratic Party
19%
$17,622 ปริมาณ
$17,622 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$11,761 ปริมาณ
81%
Democratic Party
$5,861 ปริมาณ
19%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-38 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Texas's 38th congressional district, a suburban Houston seat with a Republican-leaning partisan voting index, features an open race after incumbent Wesley Hunt retired to pursue a U.S. Senate bid. Jon Bonck secured the Republican nomination in the May 26 runoff against Shelly deZevallos, backed by former President Trump and major fundraising. Democrat Melissa McDonough won her party's primary. Nonpartisan ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball classify the contest as solid or safe Republican. These structural factors and primary results align with trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee in the November general election, while the Democratic candidate's path remains narrow absent major shifts in turnout or national conditions.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-38 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$17,622วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-38 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Texas's 38th congressional district, a suburban Houston seat with a Republican-leaning partisan voting index, features an open race after incumbent Wesley Hunt retired to pursue a U.S. Senate bid. Jon Bonck secured the Republican nomination in the May 26 runoff against Shelly deZevallos, backed by former President Trump and major fundraising. Democrat Melissa McDonough won her party's primary. Nonpartisan ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball classify the contest as solid or safe Republican. These structural factors and primary results align with trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee in the November general election, while the Democratic candidate's path remains narrow absent major shifts in turnout or national conditions.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-38 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$17,622วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Texas's 38th congressional district, a suburban Houston seat with a Republican-leaning partisan voting index, features an open race after incumbent Wesley Hunt retired to pursue a U.S. Senate bid. Jon Bonck secured the Republican nomination in the May 26 runoff against Shelly deZevallos, backed by former President Trump and major fundraising. Democrat Melissa McDonough won her party's primary. Nonpartisan ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball classify the contest as solid or safe Republican. These structural factors and primary results align with trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee in the November general election, while the Democratic candidate's path remains narrow absent major shifts in turnout or national conditions.
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