California's 38th Congressional District, an open seat after Rep. Linda Sánchez shifted to the neighboring 41st under new maps from Proposition 50, maintains a solid Democratic edge with a Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+8 and 2024 presidential margins of Harris +12 points. State Democratic Party endorsement for veteran candidate Hilda Solis, who jumped in early alongside challengers Monica Sanchez and Erik Lutz against lone Republican Pedro Casas, bolsters trader consensus ahead of the June 2 top-two primary. This structural incumbency advantage and crowded Democratic field signal low risk of a GOP advance. Odds could shift on a primary upset sending the Republican to November, nominee scandal, or national midterm wave favoring Republicans, though historical base rates favor Democrats retaining safe seats.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วCA-38 House Election Winner
CA-38 House Election Winner
$55,234 ปริมาณ
$55,234 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
93%
Republican Party
7%
$55,234 ปริมาณ
$55,234 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$28,056 ปริมาณ
93%
Republican Party
$27,178 ปริมาณ
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-38 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).California's 38th Congressional District, an open seat after Rep. Linda Sánchez shifted to the neighboring 41st under new maps from Proposition 50, maintains a solid Democratic edge with a Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+8 and 2024 presidential margins of Harris +12 points. State Democratic Party endorsement for veteran candidate Hilda Solis, who jumped in early alongside challengers Monica Sanchez and Erik Lutz against lone Republican Pedro Casas, bolsters trader consensus ahead of the June 2 top-two primary. This structural incumbency advantage and crowded Democratic field signal low risk of a GOP advance. Odds could shift on a primary upset sending the Republican to November, nominee scandal, or national midterm wave favoring Republicans, though historical base rates favor Democrats retaining safe seats.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-38 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$55,234วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-38 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).California's 38th Congressional District, an open seat after Rep. Linda Sánchez shifted to the neighboring 41st under new maps from Proposition 50, maintains a solid Democratic edge with a Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+8 and 2024 presidential margins of Harris +12 points. State Democratic Party endorsement for veteran candidate Hilda Solis, who jumped in early alongside challengers Monica Sanchez and Erik Lutz against lone Republican Pedro Casas, bolsters trader consensus ahead of the June 2 top-two primary. This structural incumbency advantage and crowded Democratic field signal low risk of a GOP advance. Odds could shift on a primary upset sending the Republican to November, nominee scandal, or national midterm wave favoring Republicans, though historical base rates favor Democrats retaining safe seats.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-38 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$55,234วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...California's 38th Congressional District, an open seat after Rep. Linda Sánchez shifted to the neighboring 41st under new maps from Proposition 50, maintains a solid Democratic edge with a Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+8 and 2024 presidential margins of Harris +12 points. State Democratic Party endorsement for veteran candidate Hilda Solis, who jumped in early alongside challengers Monica Sanchez and Erik Lutz against lone Republican Pedro Casas, bolsters trader consensus ahead of the June 2 top-two primary. This structural incumbency advantage and crowded Democratic field signal low risk of a GOP advance. Odds could shift on a primary upset sending the Republican to November, nominee scandal, or national midterm wave favoring Republicans, though historical base rates favor Democrats retaining safe seats.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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