California's 38th congressional district, an open seat following redistricting and the retirement of prior representation, features a heavily Democratic voter base in Los Angeles suburbs. The June 2026 top-two primary advanced longtime Democratic figure Hilda Solis against Republican Pedro Casas, establishing a clear frontrunner dynamic ahead of the November general election. This outcome, combined with the district's partisan voting index and historical performance, underpins the overwhelming trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. A Republican upset would require substantial shifts in turnout among key voting blocs, unexpected national political developments, or late-campaign disruptions capable of altering the established balance in this competitive cycle.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วCA-38 House Election Winner
CA-38 House Election Winner
$60,970 ปริมาณ
$60,970 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
94%
Republican Party
3%
$60,970 ปริมาณ
$60,970 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$30,074 ปริมาณ
94%
Republican Party
$30,896 ปริมาณ
3%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-38 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).California's 38th congressional district, an open seat following redistricting and the retirement of prior representation, features a heavily Democratic voter base in Los Angeles suburbs. The June 2026 top-two primary advanced longtime Democratic figure Hilda Solis against Republican Pedro Casas, establishing a clear frontrunner dynamic ahead of the November general election. This outcome, combined with the district's partisan voting index and historical performance, underpins the overwhelming trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. A Republican upset would require substantial shifts in turnout among key voting blocs, unexpected national political developments, or late-campaign disruptions capable of altering the established balance in this competitive cycle.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-38 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$60,970วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-38 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).California's 38th congressional district, an open seat following redistricting and the retirement of prior representation, features a heavily Democratic voter base in Los Angeles suburbs. The June 2026 top-two primary advanced longtime Democratic figure Hilda Solis against Republican Pedro Casas, establishing a clear frontrunner dynamic ahead of the November general election. This outcome, combined with the district's partisan voting index and historical performance, underpins the overwhelming trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. A Republican upset would require substantial shifts in turnout among key voting blocs, unexpected national political developments, or late-campaign disruptions capable of altering the established balance in this competitive cycle.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-38 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$60,970วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...California's 38th congressional district, an open seat following redistricting and the retirement of prior representation, features a heavily Democratic voter base in Los Angeles suburbs. The June 2026 top-two primary advanced longtime Democratic figure Hilda Solis against Republican Pedro Casas, establishing a clear frontrunner dynamic ahead of the November general election. This outcome, combined with the district's partisan voting index and historical performance, underpins the overwhelming trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. A Republican upset would require substantial shifts in turnout among key voting blocs, unexpected national political developments, or late-campaign disruptions capable of altering the established balance in this competitive cycle.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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