Incumbent Republican Brian Babin secured the GOP nomination with 81% in the March 3 Texas primary, facing Democrat Rhonda Hart, who won her primary with 64%, in the November 3 general election for TX-36. Trader consensus prices Republicans at 87% implied probability, reflecting the district's Cook PVI R+18 rating—47th most Republican nationally—Babin's consistent 69%+ victories in recent cycles, including 2024, and a massive fundraising edge with over $930,000 cash on hand versus Hart's under $4,000 as of late March. No polls exist, but historical presidential margins (Trump +19% in 2024 district vote) and post-redistricting stability reinforce the safe Republican status amid quiet campaign phases. Late scandals or national wave could shift dynamics, though barriers remain high for Democrats.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วTX-36 House Election Winner
TX-36 House Election Winner
ใหม่
ใหม่
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
87%
Democratic Party
12%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$2,409 ปริมาณ
87%
Democratic Party
$0 ปริมาณ
12%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-36 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Brian Babin secured the GOP nomination with 81% in the March 3 Texas primary, facing Democrat Rhonda Hart, who won her primary with 64%, in the November 3 general election for TX-36. Trader consensus prices Republicans at 87% implied probability, reflecting the district's Cook PVI R+18 rating—47th most Republican nationally—Babin's consistent 69%+ victories in recent cycles, including 2024, and a massive fundraising edge with over $930,000 cash on hand versus Hart's under $4,000 as of late March. No polls exist, but historical presidential margins (Trump +19% in 2024 district vote) and post-redistricting stability reinforce the safe Republican status amid quiet campaign phases. Late scandals or national wave could shift dynamics, though barriers remain high for Democrats.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-36 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$2,409วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-36 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Brian Babin secured the GOP nomination with 81% in the March 3 Texas primary, facing Democrat Rhonda Hart, who won her primary with 64%, in the November 3 general election for TX-36. Trader consensus prices Republicans at 87% implied probability, reflecting the district's Cook PVI R+18 rating—47th most Republican nationally—Babin's consistent 69%+ victories in recent cycles, including 2024, and a massive fundraising edge with over $930,000 cash on hand versus Hart's under $4,000 as of late March. No polls exist, but historical presidential margins (Trump +19% in 2024 district vote) and post-redistricting stability reinforce the safe Republican status amid quiet campaign phases. Late scandals or national wave could shift dynamics, though barriers remain high for Democrats.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-36 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$2,409วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Brian Babin secured the GOP nomination with 81% in the March 3 Texas primary, facing Democrat Rhonda Hart, who won her primary with 64%, in the November 3 general election for TX-36. Trader consensus prices Republicans at 87% implied probability, reflecting the district's Cook PVI R+18 rating—47th most Republican nationally—Babin's consistent 69%+ victories in recent cycles, including 2024, and a massive fundraising edge with over $930,000 cash on hand versus Hart's under $4,000 as of late March. No polls exist, but historical presidential margins (Trump +19% in 2024 district vote) and post-redistricting stability reinforce the safe Republican status amid quiet campaign phases. Late scandals or national wave could shift dynamics, though barriers remain high for Democrats.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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