Trader consensus gives Republicans a commanding 92.5% implied probability to hold South Carolina's 3rd Congressional District, driven by the seat's strong Republican partisan lean—rated R+21 by the Cook Partisan Voting Index—and incumbent Rep. Sheri Biggs' March 20 filing for re-election after her 2024 general election victory. This rural western district spanning Anderson, Oconee, and Pickens counties has consistently delivered large GOP margins, with no credible Democratic challengers yet emerging amid early 2026 cycle recruiting. The June 9 Republican primary poses the main near-term risk, but historical base rates for safe seats favor continuity. Odds could shift via a weakened GOP nominee from a bruising primary, a major scandal hitting Biggs, or an improbable Democratic national wave.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วSC-03 House Election Winner
SC-03 House Election Winner
ใหม่
ใหม่
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
93%
Democratic Party
7%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$0 ปริมาณ
93%
Democratic Party
$0 ปริมาณ
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus gives Republicans a commanding 92.5% implied probability to hold South Carolina's 3rd Congressional District, driven by the seat's strong Republican partisan lean—rated R+21 by the Cook Partisan Voting Index—and incumbent Rep. Sheri Biggs' March 20 filing for re-election after her 2024 general election victory. This rural western district spanning Anderson, Oconee, and Pickens counties has consistently delivered large GOP margins, with no credible Democratic challengers yet emerging amid early 2026 cycle recruiting. The June 9 Republican primary poses the main near-term risk, but historical base rates for safe seats favor continuity. Odds could shift via a weakened GOP nominee from a bruising primary, a major scandal hitting Biggs, or an improbable Democratic national wave.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$0วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus gives Republicans a commanding 92.5% implied probability to hold South Carolina's 3rd Congressional District, driven by the seat's strong Republican partisan lean—rated R+21 by the Cook Partisan Voting Index—and incumbent Rep. Sheri Biggs' March 20 filing for re-election after her 2024 general election victory. This rural western district spanning Anderson, Oconee, and Pickens counties has consistently delivered large GOP margins, with no credible Democratic challengers yet emerging amid early 2026 cycle recruiting. The June 9 Republican primary poses the main near-term risk, but historical base rates for safe seats favor continuity. Odds could shift via a weakened GOP nominee from a bruising primary, a major scandal hitting Biggs, or an improbable Democratic national wave.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$0วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus gives Republicans a commanding 92.5% implied probability to hold South Carolina's 3rd Congressional District, driven by the seat's strong Republican partisan lean—rated R+21 by the Cook Partisan Voting Index—and incumbent Rep. Sheri Biggs' March 20 filing for re-election after her 2024 general election victory. This rural western district spanning Anderson, Oconee, and Pickens counties has consistently delivered large GOP margins, with no credible Democratic challengers yet emerging amid early 2026 cycle recruiting. The June 9 Republican primary poses the main near-term risk, but historical base rates for safe seats favor continuity. Odds could shift via a weakened GOP nominee from a bruising primary, a major scandal hitting Biggs, or an improbable Democratic national wave.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
คำถามที่พบบ่อย