Wisconsin’s 4th congressional district, anchored in Milwaukee County, carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+26 and has delivered Democratic margins exceeding 50 points in recent cycles. Incumbent Gwen Moore, first elected in 2005, captured 74.8 percent of the vote in 2024 against limited Republican opposition. Nonpartisan forecasters classify the seat as Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the August 2026 primaries and November general election. Trader consensus placing the Democratic nominee above 93 percent reflects these structural factors, consistent voter registration patterns, and the absence of competitive candidate filings or polling shifts. A realistic challenge would require Moore’s withdrawal for health reasons or an unforeseen national swing that alters urban district performance.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วWI-04 House Election Winner
WI-04 House Election Winner
$23,465 ปริมาณ
$23,465 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
94%
Republican Party
3%
$23,465 ปริมาณ
$23,465 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$6,364 ปริมาณ
94%
Republican Party
$17,101 ปริมาณ
3%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Wisconsin’s 4th congressional district, anchored in Milwaukee County, carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+26 and has delivered Democratic margins exceeding 50 points in recent cycles. Incumbent Gwen Moore, first elected in 2005, captured 74.8 percent of the vote in 2024 against limited Republican opposition. Nonpartisan forecasters classify the seat as Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the August 2026 primaries and November general election. Trader consensus placing the Democratic nominee above 93 percent reflects these structural factors, consistent voter registration patterns, and the absence of competitive candidate filings or polling shifts. A realistic challenge would require Moore’s withdrawal for health reasons or an unforeseen national swing that alters urban district performance.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$23,465วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Wisconsin’s 4th congressional district, anchored in Milwaukee County, carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+26 and has delivered Democratic margins exceeding 50 points in recent cycles. Incumbent Gwen Moore, first elected in 2005, captured 74.8 percent of the vote in 2024 against limited Republican opposition. Nonpartisan forecasters classify the seat as Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the August 2026 primaries and November general election. Trader consensus placing the Democratic nominee above 93 percent reflects these structural factors, consistent voter registration patterns, and the absence of competitive candidate filings or polling shifts. A realistic challenge would require Moore’s withdrawal for health reasons or an unforeseen national swing that alters urban district performance.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$23,465วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Wisconsin’s 4th congressional district, anchored in Milwaukee County, carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+26 and has delivered Democratic margins exceeding 50 points in recent cycles. Incumbent Gwen Moore, first elected in 2005, captured 74.8 percent of the vote in 2024 against limited Republican opposition. Nonpartisan forecasters classify the seat as Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the August 2026 primaries and November general election. Trader consensus placing the Democratic nominee above 93 percent reflects these structural factors, consistent voter registration patterns, and the absence of competitive candidate filings or polling shifts. A realistic challenge would require Moore’s withdrawal for health reasons or an unforeseen national swing that alters urban district performance.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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