Gwen Moore, the longtime Democratic incumbent, anchors the strong trader consensus favoring her party in Wisconsin’s 4th congressional district. The Milwaukee-area seat carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+26 and delivered Moore roughly 75 percent of the vote in 2024. Ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball classify the race as Solid or Safe Democratic. Republican primary candidates remain low-profile with limited fundraising ahead of the August 11, 2026 primaries. No recent polling shifts, scandals, or national developments have altered the district’s structural Democratic advantage. Late developments such as an incumbent health issue or an unforeseen national political wave remain the primary variables that could narrow the margin before the November 3 general election.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วWI-04 House Election Winner
WI-04 House Election Winner
$25,572 ปริมาณ
$25,572 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
94%
Republican Party
5%
$25,572 ปริมาณ
$25,572 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$6,364 ปริมาณ
94%
Republican Party
$19,208 ปริมาณ
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Gwen Moore, the longtime Democratic incumbent, anchors the strong trader consensus favoring her party in Wisconsin’s 4th congressional district. The Milwaukee-area seat carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+26 and delivered Moore roughly 75 percent of the vote in 2024. Ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball classify the race as Solid or Safe Democratic. Republican primary candidates remain low-profile with limited fundraising ahead of the August 11, 2026 primaries. No recent polling shifts, scandals, or national developments have altered the district’s structural Democratic advantage. Late developments such as an incumbent health issue or an unforeseen national political wave remain the primary variables that could narrow the margin before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$25,572วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Gwen Moore, the longtime Democratic incumbent, anchors the strong trader consensus favoring her party in Wisconsin’s 4th congressional district. The Milwaukee-area seat carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+26 and delivered Moore roughly 75 percent of the vote in 2024. Ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball classify the race as Solid or Safe Democratic. Republican primary candidates remain low-profile with limited fundraising ahead of the August 11, 2026 primaries. No recent polling shifts, scandals, or national developments have altered the district’s structural Democratic advantage. Late developments such as an incumbent health issue or an unforeseen national political wave remain the primary variables that could narrow the margin before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$25,572วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Gwen Moore, the longtime Democratic incumbent, anchors the strong trader consensus favoring her party in Wisconsin’s 4th congressional district. The Milwaukee-area seat carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+26 and delivered Moore roughly 75 percent of the vote in 2024. Ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball classify the race as Solid or Safe Democratic. Republican primary candidates remain low-profile with limited fundraising ahead of the August 11, 2026 primaries. No recent polling shifts, scandals, or national developments have altered the district’s structural Democratic advantage. Late developments such as an incumbent health issue or an unforeseen national political wave remain the primary variables that could narrow the margin before the November 3 general election.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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