Wisconsin's 3rd Congressional District remains one of the most competitive 2026 House races, with incumbent Republican Derrick Van Orden facing Democratic challenger Rebecca Cooke. Recent internal and public polling shows Cooke leading Van Orden by narrow margins such as 50-46, while Cooke has outraised the incumbent in multiple quarters and holds a significant cash advantage heading into the August primaries. The district's R+3 partisan voting index and Van Orden's 2024 win by under three points underscore its swing character, though Cooke's strong performance in fundraising and voter outreach has shifted trader assessments toward a Democratic pickup. Upcoming primary contests on August 11 and the November general election timeline continue to influence positioning, with the race's outcome likely hinging on turnout in western Wisconsin battlegrounds.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วWI-03 House Election Winner
WI-03 House Election Winner
ใหม่
ใหม่
Nov 4, 2026
Democratic Party
75%
Republican Party
44%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Nov 4, 2026
Democratic Party
$538 ปริมาณ
75%
Republican Party
$586 ปริมาณ
44%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Wisconsin's 3rd Congressional District remains one of the most competitive 2026 House races, with incumbent Republican Derrick Van Orden facing Democratic challenger Rebecca Cooke. Recent internal and public polling shows Cooke leading Van Orden by narrow margins such as 50-46, while Cooke has outraised the incumbent in multiple quarters and holds a significant cash advantage heading into the August primaries. The district's R+3 partisan voting index and Van Orden's 2024 win by under three points underscore its swing character, though Cooke's strong performance in fundraising and voter outreach has shifted trader assessments toward a Democratic pickup. Upcoming primary contests on August 11 and the November general election timeline continue to influence positioning, with the race's outcome likely hinging on turnout in western Wisconsin battlegrounds.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Dec 16, 2025, 1:15 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$1,124วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 4, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Dec 16, 2025, 1:15 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Wisconsin's 3rd Congressional District remains one of the most competitive 2026 House races, with incumbent Republican Derrick Van Orden facing Democratic challenger Rebecca Cooke. Recent internal and public polling shows Cooke leading Van Orden by narrow margins such as 50-46, while Cooke has outraised the incumbent in multiple quarters and holds a significant cash advantage heading into the August primaries. The district's R+3 partisan voting index and Van Orden's 2024 win by under three points underscore its swing character, though Cooke's strong performance in fundraising and voter outreach has shifted trader assessments toward a Democratic pickup. Upcoming primary contests on August 11 and the November general election timeline continue to influence positioning, with the race's outcome likely hinging on turnout in western Wisconsin battlegrounds.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$1,124วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 4, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Dec 16, 2025, 1:15 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Wisconsin's 3rd Congressional District remains one of the most competitive 2026 House races, with incumbent Republican Derrick Van Orden facing Democratic challenger Rebecca Cooke. Recent internal and public polling shows Cooke leading Van Orden by narrow margins such as 50-46, while Cooke has outraised the incumbent in multiple quarters and holds a significant cash advantage heading into the August primaries. The district's R+3 partisan voting index and Van Orden's 2024 win by under three points underscore its swing character, though Cooke's strong performance in fundraising and voter outreach has shifted trader assessments toward a Democratic pickup. Upcoming primary contests on August 11 and the November general election timeline continue to influence positioning, with the race's outcome likely hinging on turnout in western Wisconsin battlegrounds.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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