Incumbent Democrat Mark Pocan faces minimal opposition in Wisconsin’s 2nd congressional district, a seat with a strong Democratic partisan voting index exceeding D+20 and consistent margins above 40 points in recent cycles. Pocan secured 70% in the 2024 general election, and no Republican filed nomination papers by the early June 2026 deadline ahead of the August 11 primary and November 3 general election. A Democratic primary challenger exists but poses no meaningful threat in this safely Democratic district. Trader consensus pricing at 96.6% for the Democratic Party reflects these structural and filing realities. Late developments such as an independent or write-in campaign gaining traction or an unforeseen primary upset could theoretically alter the outcome, though historical patterns in similar districts indicate low likelihood.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วWI-02 House Election Winner
WI-02 House Election Winner
$89,745 ปริมาณ
$89,745 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
97%
Republican Party
2%
$89,745 ปริมาณ
$89,745 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$53,680 ปริมาณ
97%
Republican Party
$36,065 ปริมาณ
2%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Mark Pocan faces minimal opposition in Wisconsin’s 2nd congressional district, a seat with a strong Democratic partisan voting index exceeding D+20 and consistent margins above 40 points in recent cycles. Pocan secured 70% in the 2024 general election, and no Republican filed nomination papers by the early June 2026 deadline ahead of the August 11 primary and November 3 general election. A Democratic primary challenger exists but poses no meaningful threat in this safely Democratic district. Trader consensus pricing at 96.6% for the Democratic Party reflects these structural and filing realities. Late developments such as an independent or write-in campaign gaining traction or an unforeseen primary upset could theoretically alter the outcome, though historical patterns in similar districts indicate low likelihood.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$89,745วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Mark Pocan faces minimal opposition in Wisconsin’s 2nd congressional district, a seat with a strong Democratic partisan voting index exceeding D+20 and consistent margins above 40 points in recent cycles. Pocan secured 70% in the 2024 general election, and no Republican filed nomination papers by the early June 2026 deadline ahead of the August 11 primary and November 3 general election. A Democratic primary challenger exists but poses no meaningful threat in this safely Democratic district. Trader consensus pricing at 96.6% for the Democratic Party reflects these structural and filing realities. Late developments such as an independent or write-in campaign gaining traction or an unforeseen primary upset could theoretically alter the outcome, though historical patterns in similar districts indicate low likelihood.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$89,745วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Mark Pocan faces minimal opposition in Wisconsin’s 2nd congressional district, a seat with a strong Democratic partisan voting index exceeding D+20 and consistent margins above 40 points in recent cycles. Pocan secured 70% in the 2024 general election, and no Republican filed nomination papers by the early June 2026 deadline ahead of the August 11 primary and November 3 general election. A Democratic primary challenger exists but poses no meaningful threat in this safely Democratic district. Trader consensus pricing at 96.6% for the Democratic Party reflects these structural and filing realities. Late developments such as an independent or write-in campaign gaining traction or an unforeseen primary upset could theoretically alter the outcome, though historical patterns in similar districts indicate low likelihood.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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