Mark Pocan’s commanding position in the WI-02 race stems from the district’s long-standing Democratic tilt, anchored by Madison and rated D+21 by the Cook Political Report, combined with the absence of any Republican candidate after the June 2026 filing deadline. The incumbent Democrat defeated primary challenger Douglas Alexander by roughly 88% to 12% in the August primary and enters the November general with no major-party opposition. Traders view this structural advantage, reinforced by Pocan’s consistent 70% margins in prior cycles, as creating an extremely high probability of re-election. A late independent or write-in surge, health-related withdrawal, or unforeseen ballot issue could theoretically alter the outcome, though such developments remain highly improbable based on current filings and district fundamentals.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วWI-02 House Election Winner
WI-02 House Election Winner
$102,288 ปริมาณ
$102,288 ปริมาณ
Nov 2, 2026
Mark Pocan (D)
97%
Republican Party
<1%
$102,288 ปริมาณ
$102,288 ปริมาณ
Nov 2, 2026
Mark Pocan (D)
$62,181 ปริมาณ
97%
Republican Party
$40,107 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Mark Pocan’s commanding position in the WI-02 race stems from the district’s long-standing Democratic tilt, anchored by Madison and rated D+21 by the Cook Political Report, combined with the absence of any Republican candidate after the June 2026 filing deadline. The incumbent Democrat defeated primary challenger Douglas Alexander by roughly 88% to 12% in the August primary and enters the November general with no major-party opposition. Traders view this structural advantage, reinforced by Pocan’s consistent 70% margins in prior cycles, as creating an extremely high probability of re-election. A late independent or write-in surge, health-related withdrawal, or unforeseen ballot issue could theoretically alter the outcome, though such developments remain highly improbable based on current filings and district fundamentals.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$102,288วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Mark Pocan’s commanding position in the WI-02 race stems from the district’s long-standing Democratic tilt, anchored by Madison and rated D+21 by the Cook Political Report, combined with the absence of any Republican candidate after the June 2026 filing deadline. The incumbent Democrat defeated primary challenger Douglas Alexander by roughly 88% to 12% in the August primary and enters the November general with no major-party opposition. Traders view this structural advantage, reinforced by Pocan’s consistent 70% margins in prior cycles, as creating an extremely high probability of re-election. A late independent or write-in surge, health-related withdrawal, or unforeseen ballot issue could theoretically alter the outcome, though such developments remain highly improbable based on current filings and district fundamentals.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$102,288วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x2F5e3684c...Mark Pocan’s commanding position in the WI-02 race stems from the district’s long-standing Democratic tilt, anchored by Madison and rated D+21 by the Cook Political Report, combined with the absence of any Republican candidate after the June 2026 filing deadline. The incumbent Democrat defeated primary challenger Douglas Alexander by roughly 88% to 12% in the August primary and enters the November general with no major-party opposition. Traders view this structural advantage, reinforced by Pocan’s consistent 70% margins in prior cycles, as creating an extremely high probability of re-election. A late independent or write-in surge, health-related withdrawal, or unforeseen ballot issue could theoretically alter the outcome, though such developments remain highly improbable based on current filings and district fundamentals.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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