Incumbent Republican Bryan Steil seeks re-election in Wisconsin's 1st congressional district, where the seat carries a Cook Partisan Voting Index of R+2 and has been rated Likely Republican by forecasters including Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball. Multiple Democratic candidates, including Mitchell Berman and others from Racine County, are competing in the August 11 primary, while Steil faces limited primary opposition ahead of the November 3 general election. The district's modest Republican lean and Steil's established incumbency contribute to the current trader consensus favoring the Republican Party at 56.5 percent implied probability, though the narrow gap to the Democratic Party reflects the potential for a unified Democratic nominee or national midterm dynamics to narrow the contest.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วWI-01 House Election Winner
WI-01 House Election Winner
ใหม่
ใหม่
Nov 4, 2026
Republican Party
56%
Democratic Party
45%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Nov 4, 2026
Republican Party
$643 ปริมาณ
56%
Democratic Party
$586 ปริมาณ
45%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Bryan Steil seeks re-election in Wisconsin's 1st congressional district, where the seat carries a Cook Partisan Voting Index of R+2 and has been rated Likely Republican by forecasters including Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball. Multiple Democratic candidates, including Mitchell Berman and others from Racine County, are competing in the August 11 primary, while Steil faces limited primary opposition ahead of the November 3 general election. The district's modest Republican lean and Steil's established incumbency contribute to the current trader consensus favoring the Republican Party at 56.5 percent implied probability, though the narrow gap to the Democratic Party reflects the potential for a unified Democratic nominee or national midterm dynamics to narrow the contest.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Dec 16, 2025, 1:15 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$1,229วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 4, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Dec 16, 2025, 1:15 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Bryan Steil seeks re-election in Wisconsin's 1st congressional district, where the seat carries a Cook Partisan Voting Index of R+2 and has been rated Likely Republican by forecasters including Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball. Multiple Democratic candidates, including Mitchell Berman and others from Racine County, are competing in the August 11 primary, while Steil faces limited primary opposition ahead of the November 3 general election. The district's modest Republican lean and Steil's established incumbency contribute to the current trader consensus favoring the Republican Party at 56.5 percent implied probability, though the narrow gap to the Democratic Party reflects the potential for a unified Democratic nominee or national midterm dynamics to narrow the contest.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$1,229วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 4, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Dec 16, 2025, 1:15 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Bryan Steil seeks re-election in Wisconsin's 1st congressional district, where the seat carries a Cook Partisan Voting Index of R+2 and has been rated Likely Republican by forecasters including Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball. Multiple Democratic candidates, including Mitchell Berman and others from Racine County, are competing in the August 11 primary, while Steil faces limited primary opposition ahead of the November 3 general election. The district's modest Republican lean and Steil's established incumbency contribute to the current trader consensus favoring the Republican Party at 56.5 percent implied probability, though the narrow gap to the Democratic Party reflects the potential for a unified Democratic nominee or national midterm dynamics to narrow the contest.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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