The closed primary format, approved by PS members in July over Olivier Faure’s preferred open approach, restricts voting to party adherents and allied groups like Place Publique, concentrating influence among established networks. Raphaël Glucksmann enters as the leading contender following his Place Publique role and cross-party visibility, leaving a fragmented contest for second place among Faure, Ségolène Royal, Philippe Brun, and Jérôme Guedj. Recent candidate declarations through early September, including Royal’s confirmation of sufficient sponsorships and Faure’s late-August announcement, have kept probabilities tightly grouped near 40 percent for several contenders. September debates and any shifts in internal endorsements or turnout mobilization could widen gaps before the October 9–10 first round.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วFrench Socialist Primary: First Round 2nd Place
French Socialist Primary: First Round 2nd Place
Philippe Brun 46%
Olivier Faure 41%
Ségolène Royal 38%
Jérôme Guedj 37%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Oct 10, 2026
Philippe Brun
46%
Olivier Faure
41%
Ségolène Royal
38%
Jérôme Guedj
37%
Emmanuel Maurel
26%
Raphaël Glucksmann
24%
Philippe Brun 46%
Olivier Faure 41%
Ségolène Royal 38%
Jérôme Guedj 37%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Oct 10, 2026
Philippe Brun
$0 ปริมาณ
46%
Olivier Faure
$0 ปริมาณ
41%
Ségolène Royal
$0 ปริมาณ
38%
Jérôme Guedj
$0 ปริมาณ
37%
Emmanuel Maurel
$0 ปริมาณ
26%
Raphaël Glucksmann
$0 ปริมาณ
24%
The Socialist Party of France (Parti socialiste, PS) is holding a primary to select their nominee for the 2027 French presidential elections. The first round is scheduled to be held on October 9-10, 2026, and the second round on October 16-17, 2026.
This market will resolve to the candidate who receives the second-greatest number of votes in the first round of the primary.
If the first round is cancelled or does not take place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Paris time, this market will resolve to "Other".
Candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of votes received in the first round, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If two or more candidates are tied on votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed candidate names. This market will resolve to the candidate who occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official PS sources, including https://parti-socialiste.fr/.The closed primary format, approved by PS members in July over Olivier Faure’s preferred open approach, restricts voting to party adherents and allied groups like Place Publique, concentrating influence among established networks. Raphaël Glucksmann enters as the leading contender following his Place Publique role and cross-party visibility, leaving a fragmented contest for second place among Faure, Ségolène Royal, Philippe Brun, and Jérôme Guedj. Recent candidate declarations through early September, including Royal’s confirmation of sufficient sponsorships and Faure’s late-August announcement, have kept probabilities tightly grouped near 40 percent for several contenders. September debates and any shifts in internal endorsements or turnout mobilization could widen gaps before the October 9–10 first round.
The Socialist Party of France (Parti socialiste, PS) is holding a primary to select their nominee for the 2027 French presidential elections. The first round is scheduled to be held on October 9-10, 2026, and the second round on October 16-17, 2026.
This market will resolve to the candidate who receives the second-greatest number of votes in the first round of the primary.
If the first round is cancelled or does not take place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Paris time, this market will resolve to "Other".
Candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of votes received in the first round, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If two or more candidates are tied on votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed candidate names. This market will resolve to the candidate who occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official PS sources, including https://parti-socialiste.fr/.
This market will resolve to the candidate who receives the second-greatest number of votes in the first round of the primary.
If the first round is cancelled or does not take place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Paris time, this market will resolve to "Other".
Candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of votes received in the first round, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If two or more candidates are tied on votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed candidate names. This market will resolve to the candidate who occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official PS sources, including https://parti-socialiste.fr/.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 9, 2026, 6:27 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$0วันสิ้นสุด
Oct 10, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 9, 2026, 6:27 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...The Socialist Party of France (Parti socialiste, PS) is holding a primary to select their nominee for the 2027 French presidential elections. The first round is scheduled to be held on October 9-10, 2026, and the second round on October 16-17, 2026.
This market will resolve to the candidate who receives the second-greatest number of votes in the first round of the primary.
If the first round is cancelled or does not take place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Paris time, this market will resolve to "Other".
Candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of votes received in the first round, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If two or more candidates are tied on votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed candidate names. This market will resolve to the candidate who occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official PS sources, including https://parti-socialiste.fr/.The closed primary format, approved by PS members in July over Olivier Faure’s preferred open approach, restricts voting to party adherents and allied groups like Place Publique, concentrating influence among established networks. Raphaël Glucksmann enters as the leading contender following his Place Publique role and cross-party visibility, leaving a fragmented contest for second place among Faure, Ségolène Royal, Philippe Brun, and Jérôme Guedj. Recent candidate declarations through early September, including Royal’s confirmation of sufficient sponsorships and Faure’s late-August announcement, have kept probabilities tightly grouped near 40 percent for several contenders. September debates and any shifts in internal endorsements or turnout mobilization could widen gaps before the October 9–10 first round.
The Socialist Party of France (Parti socialiste, PS) is holding a primary to select their nominee for the 2027 French presidential elections. The first round is scheduled to be held on October 9-10, 2026, and the second round on October 16-17, 2026.
This market will resolve to the candidate who receives the second-greatest number of votes in the first round of the primary.
If the first round is cancelled or does not take place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Paris time, this market will resolve to "Other".
Candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of votes received in the first round, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If two or more candidates are tied on votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed candidate names. This market will resolve to the candidate who occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official PS sources, including https://parti-socialiste.fr/.
This market will resolve to the candidate who receives the second-greatest number of votes in the first round of the primary.
If the first round is cancelled or does not take place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Paris time, this market will resolve to "Other".
Candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of votes received in the first round, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If two or more candidates are tied on votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed candidate names. This market will resolve to the candidate who occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official PS sources, including https://parti-socialiste.fr/.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$0วันสิ้นสุด
Oct 10, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 9, 2026, 6:27 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...The closed primary format, approved by PS members in July over Olivier Faure’s preferred open approach, restricts voting to party adherents and allied groups like Place Publique, concentrating influence among established networks. Raphaël Glucksmann enters as the leading contender following his Place Publique role and cross-party visibility, leaving a fragmented contest for second place among Faure, Ségolène Royal, Philippe Brun, and Jérôme Guedj. Recent candidate declarations through early September, including Royal’s confirmation of sufficient sponsorships and Faure’s late-August announcement, have kept probabilities tightly grouped near 40 percent for several contenders. September debates and any shifts in internal endorsements or turnout mobilization could widen gaps before the October 9–10 first round.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
คำถามที่พบบ่อย