**Amcha Yisrael, the new right-wing party launched in late August 2026 by former IDF Brig. Gen. Ofer Winter, faces a tight race to clear Israel’s 3.25% electoral threshold ahead of the October 27 Knesset vote.** Recent post-list-submission polls show the party fluctuating near or below that line, with some surveys (such as the early September Maariv/Lazar poll) projecting four seats and others placing it under 3%. Its independent run, after rejecting a merger with the Religious Zionism-Zehut alliance, draws support mainly from Likud, Otzma Yehudit, and Religious Zionism voters, contributing to volatility in the broader right-wing bloc. Undecided voters have declined since lists closed, but small shifts in turnout and right-wing fragmentation continue to determine whether the party secures representation or falls short. Trader pricing aligns with this polling range, emphasizing the narrow margin around the threshold.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว3.25-4% 38%
<2.5% 28%
5%+ 28%
2.5-3.25% 21%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Nov 30, 2026
<2.5%
47%
2.5-3.25%
21%
3.25-4%
38%
4-5%
28%
5%+
28%
3.25-4% 38%
<2.5% 28%
5%+ 28%
2.5-3.25% 21%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Nov 30, 2026
<2.5%
$20 ปริมาณ
47%
2.5-3.25%
$0 ปริมาณ
21%
3.25-4%
$0 ปริมาณ
38%
4-5%
$13 ปริมาณ
28%
5%+
$0 ปริมาณ
28%
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Amcha Yisrael party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Amcha Yisrael's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Amcha Yisrael passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Amcha Yisrael contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Amcha Yisrael merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).**Amcha Yisrael, the new right-wing party launched in late August 2026 by former IDF Brig. Gen. Ofer Winter, faces a tight race to clear Israel’s 3.25% electoral threshold ahead of the October 27 Knesset vote.** Recent post-list-submission polls show the party fluctuating near or below that line, with some surveys (such as the early September Maariv/Lazar poll) projecting four seats and others placing it under 3%. Its independent run, after rejecting a merger with the Religious Zionism-Zehut alliance, draws support mainly from Likud, Otzma Yehudit, and Religious Zionism voters, contributing to volatility in the broader right-wing bloc. Undecided voters have declined since lists closed, but small shifts in turnout and right-wing fragmentation continue to determine whether the party secures representation or falls short. Trader pricing aligns with this polling range, emphasizing the narrow margin around the threshold.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Amcha Yisrael party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Amcha Yisrael's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Amcha Yisrael passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Amcha Yisrael contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Amcha Yisrael merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Amcha Yisrael party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Amcha Yisrael's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Amcha Yisrael passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Amcha Yisrael contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Amcha Yisrael merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 8, 2026, 4:26 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$33วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 30, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 8, 2026, 4:26 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.bechirot.gov.il/ผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Amcha Yisrael party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Amcha Yisrael's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Amcha Yisrael passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Amcha Yisrael contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Amcha Yisrael merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).**Amcha Yisrael, the new right-wing party launched in late August 2026 by former IDF Brig. Gen. Ofer Winter, faces a tight race to clear Israel’s 3.25% electoral threshold ahead of the October 27 Knesset vote.** Recent post-list-submission polls show the party fluctuating near or below that line, with some surveys (such as the early September Maariv/Lazar poll) projecting four seats and others placing it under 3%. Its independent run, after rejecting a merger with the Religious Zionism-Zehut alliance, draws support mainly from Likud, Otzma Yehudit, and Religious Zionism voters, contributing to volatility in the broader right-wing bloc. Undecided voters have declined since lists closed, but small shifts in turnout and right-wing fragmentation continue to determine whether the party secures representation or falls short. Trader pricing aligns with this polling range, emphasizing the narrow margin around the threshold.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Amcha Yisrael party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Amcha Yisrael's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Amcha Yisrael passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Amcha Yisrael contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Amcha Yisrael merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Amcha Yisrael party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Amcha Yisrael's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Amcha Yisrael passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Amcha Yisrael contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Amcha Yisrael merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$33วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 30, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 8, 2026, 4:26 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.bechirot.gov.il/ผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...**Amcha Yisrael, the new right-wing party launched in late August 2026 by former IDF Brig. Gen. Ofer Winter, faces a tight race to clear Israel’s 3.25% electoral threshold ahead of the October 27 Knesset vote.** Recent post-list-submission polls show the party fluctuating near or below that line, with some surveys (such as the early September Maariv/Lazar poll) projecting four seats and others placing it under 3%. Its independent run, after rejecting a merger with the Religious Zionism-Zehut alliance, draws support mainly from Likud, Otzma Yehudit, and Religious Zionism voters, contributing to volatility in the broader right-wing bloc. Undecided voters have declined since lists closed, but small shifts in turnout and right-wing fragmentation continue to determine whether the party secures representation or falls short. Trader pricing aligns with this polling range, emphasizing the narrow margin around the threshold.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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