The open seat created by incumbent Republican Tom Tiffany’s decision to run for Wisconsin governor has drawn multiple candidates into both parties’ August 11 primaries, yet the district’s consistent Republican performance in recent cycles underpins the current trader consensus. Republicans won the seat by roughly 25–27 points in 2022 and 2024, and nonpartisan ratings classify the race as Solid or Safe Republican. With the general election still five months away and no major polling or late developments shifting the balance, traders see limited near-term risk of a Democratic upset in this northwestern and central Wisconsin district.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วWI-07 House Election Winner
$19,828 ปริมาณ
$19,828 ปริมาณ
Republican Party
83%
Democratic Party
18%
$19,828 ปริมาณ
$19,828 ปริมาณ
Republican Party
83%
Democratic Party
18%
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...The open seat created by incumbent Republican Tom Tiffany’s decision to run for Wisconsin governor has drawn multiple candidates into both parties’ August 11 primaries, yet the district’s consistent Republican performance in recent cycles underpins the current trader consensus. Republicans won the seat by roughly 25–27 points in 2022 and 2024, and nonpartisan ratings classify the race as Solid or Safe Republican. With the general election still five months away and no major polling or late developments shifting the balance, traders see limited near-term risk of a Democratic upset in this northwestern and central Wisconsin district.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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