South Carolina's 4th congressional district maintains an R+11 Partisan Voter Index, reflecting consistent Republican advantages in recent presidential results and placing it well outside competitive range according to major forecasters. Incumbent Republican William Timmons seeks renomination in the June 9 primary against two challengers, while Democrat Courtney McClain is the sole general-election opponent after advancing unopposed. All independent ratings classify the seat as solid or safe Republican, underscoring limited Democratic path to victory in this Upstate district anchored by Greenville and Spartanburg. Trader pricing aligns with these structural factors and historical patterns in similarly tilted seats, where Republican nominees have prevailed by wide margins in recent cycles.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วSC-04 House Election Winner
$12,526 ปริมาณ
$12,526 ปริมาณ
Republican Party
88%
Democratic Party
11%
$12,526 ปริมาณ
$12,526 ปริมาณ
Republican Party
88%
Democratic Party
11%
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...South Carolina's 4th congressional district maintains an R+11 Partisan Voter Index, reflecting consistent Republican advantages in recent presidential results and placing it well outside competitive range according to major forecasters. Incumbent Republican William Timmons seeks renomination in the June 9 primary against two challengers, while Democrat Courtney McClain is the sole general-election opponent after advancing unopposed. All independent ratings classify the seat as solid or safe Republican, underscoring limited Democratic path to victory in this Upstate district anchored by Greenville and Spartanburg. Trader pricing aligns with these structural factors and historical patterns in similarly tilted seats, where Republican nominees have prevailed by wide margins in recent cycles.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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