South Carolina’s ongoing mid-cycle congressional redistricting debate remains the primary driver of trader positioning in the SC-06 House race, where the Republican Party currently holds a 63.5% implied probability compared with 40% for Democrats. State Republicans advanced proposals in the House and Senate to redraw boundaries ahead of the June 9 primaries, aiming to alter the demographics of the district long held by incumbent Democrat Jim Clyburn. Recent Senate sessions considered maps that could shift the seat toward Republican control, though proceedings adjourned on May 21 without final passage. These developments introduce substantial uncertainty into an otherwise Democratic-leaning district, prompting traders to price in the potential for new lines that would reshape the general election contest on November 3.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วSC-06 House Election Winner
SC-06 House Election Winner
$16,737 ปริมาณ
$16,737 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
63%
Democratic Party
40%
$16,737 ปริมาณ
$16,737 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$9,344 ปริมาณ
63%
Democratic Party
$7,393 ปริมาณ
40%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).South Carolina’s ongoing mid-cycle congressional redistricting debate remains the primary driver of trader positioning in the SC-06 House race, where the Republican Party currently holds a 63.5% implied probability compared with 40% for Democrats. State Republicans advanced proposals in the House and Senate to redraw boundaries ahead of the June 9 primaries, aiming to alter the demographics of the district long held by incumbent Democrat Jim Clyburn. Recent Senate sessions considered maps that could shift the seat toward Republican control, though proceedings adjourned on May 21 without final passage. These developments introduce substantial uncertainty into an otherwise Democratic-leaning district, prompting traders to price in the potential for new lines that would reshape the general election contest on November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$16,737วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).South Carolina’s ongoing mid-cycle congressional redistricting debate remains the primary driver of trader positioning in the SC-06 House race, where the Republican Party currently holds a 63.5% implied probability compared with 40% for Democrats. State Republicans advanced proposals in the House and Senate to redraw boundaries ahead of the June 9 primaries, aiming to alter the demographics of the district long held by incumbent Democrat Jim Clyburn. Recent Senate sessions considered maps that could shift the seat toward Republican control, though proceedings adjourned on May 21 without final passage. These developments introduce substantial uncertainty into an otherwise Democratic-leaning district, prompting traders to price in the potential for new lines that would reshape the general election contest on November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$16,737วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...South Carolina’s ongoing mid-cycle congressional redistricting debate remains the primary driver of trader positioning in the SC-06 House race, where the Republican Party currently holds a 63.5% implied probability compared with 40% for Democrats. State Republicans advanced proposals in the House and Senate to redraw boundaries ahead of the June 9 primaries, aiming to alter the demographics of the district long held by incumbent Democrat Jim Clyburn. Recent Senate sessions considered maps that could shift the seat toward Republican control, though proceedings adjourned on May 21 without final passage. These developments introduce substantial uncertainty into an otherwise Democratic-leaning district, prompting traders to price in the potential for new lines that would reshape the general election contest on November 3.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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