Analilia Mejia’s decisive April 2026 special-election victory, capturing roughly 60 percent in the Democratic-leaning NJ-11, has anchored trader expectations for a Democratic hold in the November general election. The district’s partisan voting index and consistent Democratic performance in recent cycles, including the 2024 results, reinforce this positioning, with nonpartisan forecasters rating the seat Solid or Safe Democratic. Incumbency advantages, primary endorsements from progressive networks, and limited Republican fundraising further support the 91.5 percent Democratic consensus. A significant national Republican surge, major scandal involving the incumbent, or unusually high GOP turnout in suburban Morris and Essex counties could narrow margins, though historical base rates and current structural factors make such shifts improbable.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วNJ-11 House Election Winner
NJ-11 House Election Winner
$17,777 ปริมาณ
$17,777 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
92%
Republican Party
7%
$17,777 ปริมาณ
$17,777 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$13,408 ปริมาณ
92%
Republican Party
$4,370 ปริมาณ
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Analilia Mejia’s decisive April 2026 special-election victory, capturing roughly 60 percent in the Democratic-leaning NJ-11, has anchored trader expectations for a Democratic hold in the November general election. The district’s partisan voting index and consistent Democratic performance in recent cycles, including the 2024 results, reinforce this positioning, with nonpartisan forecasters rating the seat Solid or Safe Democratic. Incumbency advantages, primary endorsements from progressive networks, and limited Republican fundraising further support the 91.5 percent Democratic consensus. A significant national Republican surge, major scandal involving the incumbent, or unusually high GOP turnout in suburban Morris and Essex counties could narrow margins, though historical base rates and current structural factors make such shifts improbable.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$17,777วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Analilia Mejia’s decisive April 2026 special-election victory, capturing roughly 60 percent in the Democratic-leaning NJ-11, has anchored trader expectations for a Democratic hold in the November general election. The district’s partisan voting index and consistent Democratic performance in recent cycles, including the 2024 results, reinforce this positioning, with nonpartisan forecasters rating the seat Solid or Safe Democratic. Incumbency advantages, primary endorsements from progressive networks, and limited Republican fundraising further support the 91.5 percent Democratic consensus. A significant national Republican surge, major scandal involving the incumbent, or unusually high GOP turnout in suburban Morris and Essex counties could narrow margins, though historical base rates and current structural factors make such shifts improbable.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$17,777วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Analilia Mejia’s decisive April 2026 special-election victory, capturing roughly 60 percent in the Democratic-leaning NJ-11, has anchored trader expectations for a Democratic hold in the November general election. The district’s partisan voting index and consistent Democratic performance in recent cycles, including the 2024 results, reinforce this positioning, with nonpartisan forecasters rating the seat Solid or Safe Democratic. Incumbency advantages, primary endorsements from progressive networks, and limited Republican fundraising further support the 91.5 percent Democratic consensus. A significant national Republican surge, major scandal involving the incumbent, or unusually high GOP turnout in suburban Morris and Essex counties could narrow margins, though historical base rates and current structural factors make such shifts improbable.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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