Analilia Mejia holds a commanding lead in the November 2026 general election for New Jersey's 11th congressional district due to her decisive April 2026 special election victory by roughly 20 points over the same Republican opponent and her subsequent strong Democratic primary performance as the new incumbent. The suburban district's recent Democratic tilt, combined with Mejia's established fundraising and organizational support, has shaped trader consensus around her reelection prospects. Scenarios that could realistically narrow the margin include late-campaign developments such as national political shifts affecting turnout, unexpected personal or legal issues involving either candidate, or unusually low Democratic participation in key counties like Morris and Essex.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วNJ-11 House Election Winner
NJ-11 House Election Winner
$42,532 ปริมาณ
$42,532 ปริมาณ
Nov 2, 2026
Analilia Mejia (D)
96%
Joe Hathaway (R)
5%
$42,532 ปริมาณ
$42,532 ปริมาณ
Nov 2, 2026
Analilia Mejia (D)
$23,615 ปริมาณ
96%
Joe Hathaway (R)
$18,917 ปริมาณ
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Analilia Mejia holds a commanding lead in the November 2026 general election for New Jersey's 11th congressional district due to her decisive April 2026 special election victory by roughly 20 points over the same Republican opponent and her subsequent strong Democratic primary performance as the new incumbent. The suburban district's recent Democratic tilt, combined with Mejia's established fundraising and organizational support, has shaped trader consensus around her reelection prospects. Scenarios that could realistically narrow the margin include late-campaign developments such as national political shifts affecting turnout, unexpected personal or legal issues involving either candidate, or unusually low Democratic participation in key counties like Morris and Essex.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$42,532วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Analilia Mejia holds a commanding lead in the November 2026 general election for New Jersey's 11th congressional district due to her decisive April 2026 special election victory by roughly 20 points over the same Republican opponent and her subsequent strong Democratic primary performance as the new incumbent. The suburban district's recent Democratic tilt, combined with Mejia's established fundraising and organizational support, has shaped trader consensus around her reelection prospects. Scenarios that could realistically narrow the margin include late-campaign developments such as national political shifts affecting turnout, unexpected personal or legal issues involving either candidate, or unusually low Democratic participation in key counties like Morris and Essex.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$42,532วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x2F5e3684c...Analilia Mejia holds a commanding lead in the November 2026 general election for New Jersey's 11th congressional district due to her decisive April 2026 special election victory by roughly 20 points over the same Republican opponent and her subsequent strong Democratic primary performance as the new incumbent. The suburban district's recent Democratic tilt, combined with Mejia's established fundraising and organizational support, has shaped trader consensus around her reelection prospects. Scenarios that could realistically narrow the margin include late-campaign developments such as national political shifts affecting turnout, unexpected personal or legal issues involving either candidate, or unusually low Democratic participation in key counties like Morris and Essex.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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