Adam Hamawy secured the Democratic nomination in a crowded June 2026 primary for the open NJ-12 seat after longtime Representative Bonnie Watson Coleman retired, defeating a field that included local officials and progressive activists. The district, covering parts of Mercer, Middlesex, Somerset, and Union counties, has delivered consistent Democratic margins exceeding 20 points in recent cycles, including a 25-point House win in 2024. Republican Gregg Mele, an attorney who ran unopposed in his primary, faces structural barriers in this solidly blue territory. Current trader consensus aligns with nonpartisan forecasts rating the race as safe or solid Democratic. Late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or sharp national partisan swing could still shift the outcome before the November general election.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วNJ-12 House Election Winner
NJ-12 House Election Winner
$29,456 ปริมาณ
$29,456 ปริมาณ
Nov 2, 2026
Adam Hamawy (D)
97%
Gregg Mele (R)
3%
$29,456 ปริมาณ
$29,456 ปริมาณ
Nov 2, 2026
Adam Hamawy (D)
$20,673 ปริมาณ
97%
Gregg Mele (R)
$8,783 ปริมาณ
3%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Adam Hamawy secured the Democratic nomination in a crowded June 2026 primary for the open NJ-12 seat after longtime Representative Bonnie Watson Coleman retired, defeating a field that included local officials and progressive activists. The district, covering parts of Mercer, Middlesex, Somerset, and Union counties, has delivered consistent Democratic margins exceeding 20 points in recent cycles, including a 25-point House win in 2024. Republican Gregg Mele, an attorney who ran unopposed in his primary, faces structural barriers in this solidly blue territory. Current trader consensus aligns with nonpartisan forecasts rating the race as safe or solid Democratic. Late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or sharp national partisan swing could still shift the outcome before the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$29,456วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Adam Hamawy secured the Democratic nomination in a crowded June 2026 primary for the open NJ-12 seat after longtime Representative Bonnie Watson Coleman retired, defeating a field that included local officials and progressive activists. The district, covering parts of Mercer, Middlesex, Somerset, and Union counties, has delivered consistent Democratic margins exceeding 20 points in recent cycles, including a 25-point House win in 2024. Republican Gregg Mele, an attorney who ran unopposed in his primary, faces structural barriers in this solidly blue territory. Current trader consensus aligns with nonpartisan forecasts rating the race as safe or solid Democratic. Late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or sharp national partisan swing could still shift the outcome before the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$29,456วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x2F5e3684c...Adam Hamawy secured the Democratic nomination in a crowded June 2026 primary for the open NJ-12 seat after longtime Representative Bonnie Watson Coleman retired, defeating a field that included local officials and progressive activists. The district, covering parts of Mercer, Middlesex, Somerset, and Union counties, has delivered consistent Democratic margins exceeding 20 points in recent cycles, including a 25-point House win in 2024. Republican Gregg Mele, an attorney who ran unopposed in his primary, faces structural barriers in this solidly blue territory. Current trader consensus aligns with nonpartisan forecasts rating the race as safe or solid Democratic. Late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or sharp national partisan swing could still shift the outcome before the November general election.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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