The Democratic nominee holds a commanding position in New Jersey’s 12th congressional district due to the seat’s consistent partisan lean, with a D+13 Cook Partisan Voting Index and prior Democratic margins exceeding 60 percent in general elections. Bonnie Watson Coleman’s retirement opened the race, but the June 2 Democratic primary produced a clear winner in Adam Hamawy amid a crowded field, while Republican Gregg Mele advanced unopposed. Nonpartisan ratings classify the contest as Solid or Safe Democratic. Trader pricing aligns with these structural factors and the absence of recent polling or events indicating a competitive general-election environment. Shifts could occur only through an unforeseen national Republican wave, a major scandal affecting the Democratic nominee, or unusually depressed turnout in core Democratic areas before November 3.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วNJ-12 House Election Winner
$16,918 ปริมาณ
$16,918 ปริมาณ
Democratic Party
93%
Republican Party
8%
$16,918 ปริมาณ
$16,918 ปริมาณ
Democratic Party
93%
Republican Party
8%
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...The Democratic nominee holds a commanding position in New Jersey’s 12th congressional district due to the seat’s consistent partisan lean, with a D+13 Cook Partisan Voting Index and prior Democratic margins exceeding 60 percent in general elections. Bonnie Watson Coleman’s retirement opened the race, but the June 2 Democratic primary produced a clear winner in Adam Hamawy amid a crowded field, while Republican Gregg Mele advanced unopposed. Nonpartisan ratings classify the contest as Solid or Safe Democratic. Trader pricing aligns with these structural factors and the absence of recent polling or events indicating a competitive general-election environment. Shifts could occur only through an unforeseen national Republican wave, a major scandal affecting the Democratic nominee, or unusually depressed turnout in core Democratic areas before November 3.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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