Incumbent Rep. Carlos Giménez's strong reelection history in the R+10 Florida 28th Congressional District, where he won by nearly 30 points in 2024 amid Trump carrying the area by 25 points, drives trader consensus favoring the Republican Party nominee at 84.5% implied probability. A early April poll by EDGE/MDW Communications (514 LV voters) showed Giménez leading Democratic challenger Hector Mujica—a former Google executive who switched from a U.S. Senate bid—46%-40% with 14% undecided/other, narrowing amid voter concerns over affordability, immigration raids, and foreign policy like Iran operations. Traders discount the small-sample survey as an outlier against district fundamentals, incumbency advantages, and Giménez's fundraising edge, with Republican primary challenger Herrera Macuran unlikely to prevail ahead of the August 18 primaries.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วFL-28 House Election Winner
FL-28 House Election Winner
ใหม่
ใหม่
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
85%
Democratic Party
15%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$898 ปริมาณ
85%
Democratic Party
$5,452 ปริมาณ
15%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-28 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. Carlos Giménez's strong reelection history in the R+10 Florida 28th Congressional District, where he won by nearly 30 points in 2024 amid Trump carrying the area by 25 points, drives trader consensus favoring the Republican Party nominee at 84.5% implied probability. A early April poll by EDGE/MDW Communications (514 LV voters) showed Giménez leading Democratic challenger Hector Mujica—a former Google executive who switched from a U.S. Senate bid—46%-40% with 14% undecided/other, narrowing amid voter concerns over affordability, immigration raids, and foreign policy like Iran operations. Traders discount the small-sample survey as an outlier against district fundamentals, incumbency advantages, and Giménez's fundraising edge, with Republican primary challenger Herrera Macuran unlikely to prevail ahead of the August 18 primaries.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-28 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$6,350วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-28 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. Carlos Giménez's strong reelection history in the R+10 Florida 28th Congressional District, where he won by nearly 30 points in 2024 amid Trump carrying the area by 25 points, drives trader consensus favoring the Republican Party nominee at 84.5% implied probability. A early April poll by EDGE/MDW Communications (514 LV voters) showed Giménez leading Democratic challenger Hector Mujica—a former Google executive who switched from a U.S. Senate bid—46%-40% with 14% undecided/other, narrowing amid voter concerns over affordability, immigration raids, and foreign policy like Iran operations. Traders discount the small-sample survey as an outlier against district fundamentals, incumbency advantages, and Giménez's fundraising edge, with Republican primary challenger Herrera Macuran unlikely to prevail ahead of the August 18 primaries.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-28 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$6,350วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Rep. Carlos Giménez's strong reelection history in the R+10 Florida 28th Congressional District, where he won by nearly 30 points in 2024 amid Trump carrying the area by 25 points, drives trader consensus favoring the Republican Party nominee at 84.5% implied probability. A early April poll by EDGE/MDW Communications (514 LV voters) showed Giménez leading Democratic challenger Hector Mujica—a former Google executive who switched from a U.S. Senate bid—46%-40% with 14% undecided/other, narrowing amid voter concerns over affordability, immigration raids, and foreign policy like Iran operations. Traders discount the small-sample survey as an outlier against district fundamentals, incumbency advantages, and Giménez's fundraising edge, with Republican primary challenger Herrera Macuran unlikely to prevail ahead of the August 18 primaries.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
คำถามที่พบบ่อย