Trader consensus prices Republican Party victory at 90.5¢ in Utah's 4th congressional district House race, reflecting the district's R+14 Cook Partisan Voter Index and Solid Republican ratings from forecasters like Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball. Incumbent Rep. Burgess Owens' March 4 retirement amid court-ordered redistricting opened the seat, but Rep. Mike Kennedy—freshman from former UT-03 with $370,000 cash on hand—leads a crowded GOP primary field ahead of the April 25 convention and June 23 primary. Democrats field weak challengers Archie Williams III and Jonny Larsen, with no polling indicating competitiveness. Late-breaking GOP nominee scandal, primary bloodbath weakening the frontrunner, or national midterm Democratic turnout surge could challenge this dominance.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วUT-04 House Election Winner
UT-04 House Election Winner
Republican Party
91%
Democratic Party
8%
Republican Party
91%
Democratic Party
8%
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus prices Republican Party victory at 90.5¢ in Utah's 4th congressional district House race, reflecting the district's R+14 Cook Partisan Voter Index and Solid Republican ratings from forecasters like Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball. Incumbent Rep. Burgess Owens' March 4 retirement amid court-ordered redistricting opened the seat, but Rep. Mike Kennedy—freshman from former UT-03 with $370,000 cash on hand—leads a crowded GOP primary field ahead of the April 25 convention and June 23 primary. Democrats field weak challengers Archie Williams III and Jonny Larsen, with no polling indicating competitiveness. Late-breaking GOP nominee scandal, primary bloodbath weakening the frontrunner, or national midterm Democratic turnout surge could challenge this dominance.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
คำถามที่พบบ่อย