Utah's 4th congressional district carries a Partisan Voter Index of R+17 and receives Solid or Safe Republican ratings from major forecasters, establishing a durable structural edge for the GOP nominee. Incumbent Mike Kennedy secured strong party support through an overwhelming convention victory and enters the November 3 general election with substantial fundraising and unified Republican backing after redistricting shifted him into the seat. Jonny Larsen, the Democratic nominee, faces limited resources and operates in a district where recent election results and voter patterns favor Republicans by wide margins. Trader consensus at 94.5% for Kennedy reflects these entrenched factors, though late developments such as major scandals, significant turnout shifts, or unexpected national political changes could still influence the final outcome before election day.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วUT-04 House Election Winner
UT-04 House Election Winner
$42,280 ปริมาณ
$42,280 ปริมาณ
Nov 2, 2026
Mike Kennedy (R)
95%
Jonny Larsen (D)
4%
$42,280 ปริมาณ
$42,280 ปริมาณ
Nov 2, 2026
Mike Kennedy (R)
$16,189 ปริมาณ
95%
Jonny Larsen (D)
$26,091 ปริมาณ
4%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the UT-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Utah's 4th congressional district carries a Partisan Voter Index of R+17 and receives Solid or Safe Republican ratings from major forecasters, establishing a durable structural edge for the GOP nominee. Incumbent Mike Kennedy secured strong party support through an overwhelming convention victory and enters the November 3 general election with substantial fundraising and unified Republican backing after redistricting shifted him into the seat. Jonny Larsen, the Democratic nominee, faces limited resources and operates in a district where recent election results and voter patterns favor Republicans by wide margins. Trader consensus at 94.5% for Kennedy reflects these entrenched factors, though late developments such as major scandals, significant turnout shifts, or unexpected national political changes could still influence the final outcome before election day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the UT-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$42,280วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the UT-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Utah's 4th congressional district carries a Partisan Voter Index of R+17 and receives Solid or Safe Republican ratings from major forecasters, establishing a durable structural edge for the GOP nominee. Incumbent Mike Kennedy secured strong party support through an overwhelming convention victory and enters the November 3 general election with substantial fundraising and unified Republican backing after redistricting shifted him into the seat. Jonny Larsen, the Democratic nominee, faces limited resources and operates in a district where recent election results and voter patterns favor Republicans by wide margins. Trader consensus at 94.5% for Kennedy reflects these entrenched factors, though late developments such as major scandals, significant turnout shifts, or unexpected national political changes could still influence the final outcome before election day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the UT-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$42,280วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x2F5e3684c...Utah's 4th congressional district carries a Partisan Voter Index of R+17 and receives Solid or Safe Republican ratings from major forecasters, establishing a durable structural edge for the GOP nominee. Incumbent Mike Kennedy secured strong party support through an overwhelming convention victory and enters the November 3 general election with substantial fundraising and unified Republican backing after redistricting shifted him into the seat. Jonny Larsen, the Democratic nominee, faces limited resources and operates in a district where recent election results and voter patterns favor Republicans by wide margins. Trader consensus at 94.5% for Kennedy reflects these entrenched factors, though late developments such as major scandals, significant turnout shifts, or unexpected national political changes could still influence the final outcome before election day.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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